Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) just dropped a forecast that has semiconductor investors perking up again. The chipmaker projects its data center revenue will jump 60% over the next three to five years, and that bullish outlook is reigniting interest in chip-focused ETFs as the battle with Nvidia Corp (NVDA) for AI supremacy gets even more intense.
The projection has put funds like the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) back in the spotlight. Both hold chunky positions in AMD and Nvidia, meaning they're positioned to capture whichever company wins the AI infrastructure arms race—or ideally, both.
SOXX serves as a benchmark semiconductor ETF with broad exposure to leading chipmakers, making it a natural beneficiary if AMD's growth story plays out as promised. SMH, meanwhile, tilts more heavily toward Nvidia and might need to rebalance toward AMD as the latter builds momentum in data center expansion and AI infrastructure. How these funds perform will likely depend on how the broader semiconductor market responds to surging demand for large-scale AI systems powered by GPUs and CPUs.
Beyond pure chip plays, large-cap tech ETFs like the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ)—which includes both AMD and Nvidia through its Nasdaq-100 exposure—could capture upside as the AI narrative heats up. Thematic funds like ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF (ARKQ) and Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ) offer investors a way to tap into AI hardware and software development without having to pick sides in the chip rivalry.
AI Growth Fuels Sector Rotation
AMD's long-term growth forecast is injecting fresh energy into the semiconductor trade, which had cooled in recent months amid worries about stretched valuations and potential data center overcapacity. The company's expectation of grabbing more market share in AI-driven servers and GPUs has revived investor appetite for ETFs offering diversified exposure to the sector.
If AMD's revenue projections actually materialize, fund flows into semiconductor ETFs could accelerate as investors look beyond single-stock bets to capture the broader AI hardware boom. Nvidia remains the heavyweight in most of these funds, but AMD's steady gains could shift weightings and influence fund performance through upcoming rebalancing cycles.
As the global AI infrastructure buildout accelerates, ETFs tracking chipmakers are becoming a proxy for long-term exposure to the next phase of computing growth. Every incremental leap in data center capacity could translate into fresh momentum for semiconductor-focused funds, making this space worth watching as the competition between AMD and Nvidia continues to unfold.