Sometimes the contrarian bet works out. Martin Shkreli, never one to shy away from controversy or a bold market call, has been aggressively shorting quantum computing stocks. The result? He's claiming 600% gains as the sector implodes.
Shkreli placed bearish bets against the quantum computing crowd favorites, including IonQ Inc. (IONQ), D-Wave Quantum, Inc. (QBTS), Rigetti Computing (RGTI) and Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT). These stocks initially rallied hard after retail investors jumped into the sector, driving valuations skyward on excitement about quantum breakthroughs and ambitious projections from company executives.
That surge left Shkreli staring at substantial paper losses on his short positions. But he held firm.
Why Shkreli Bet Against Quantum
Shkreli's thesis has been consistent: quantum computing stocks are wildly overvalued based on hype instead of actual business fundamentals or meaningful technological progress. He's argued that quantum's commercial viability is decades away, not right around the corner like some bulls suggest.
In a Friday morning post on X, Shkreli celebrated the reversal and steep decline in quantum stocks this month. He laid out his favorite short targets with characteristic bluntness:
"My favorite quantum shorts:
1) QBTS – can't even be called quantum computing
2) RGTI – didn't make it through low hurdle DARPA
3) IONQ – insane house of cards
4) BTQ – scamco
5) LAES – scamco," Shkreli said.
He also hosted an early morning livestream, boasting about the 600% gains on his quantum short positions.
The Quantum Selloff
While quantum computing stocks attempted a modest recovery on Friday, the damage over the past 30 days has been severe. The numbers tell the story of a sector in freefall.
Rigetti shares have collapsed more than 50%. IonQ shed 38%. D-Wave was down 43% and Quantum Computing stock dropped by more than 50% over the past month.
SEALSQ Corp. (LAES) and BTQ Technologies Corp. (BTQ) have also suffered significant declines.
For Shkreli, the crash validates his view that the quantum computing rally was built on speculation rather than substance. Whether the sector rebounds or continues to struggle, his contrarian bet has certainly paid off in the short term.