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Peter Schiff Predicts MicroStrategy 'Death Spiral' Over Disappearing Dividends

MarketDash Editorial Team
19 days ago
Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff is taking aim at MicroStrategy's preferred shares, warning that the company's dividend structure could trigger a catastrophic unwinding of its entire financing strategy.

Peter Schiff has fired up his ongoing battle with the Bitcoin world again, and this time he's zeroing in on MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) and its chief evangelist Michael Saylor. In a series of posts on X, the gold advocate argued that the company's high-yield preferred shares are fundamentally misunderstood by the very investors buying them.

The crux of his argument? Those advertised yields might never actually show up in anyone's account. "Dividends are only paid if MSTR decides to declare a dividend… Undeclared dividends don't accumulate. They are lost forever," Schiff wrote.

The Fine Print Nobody Read

According to Schiff, the problem isn't just theoretical—it's baked into the structure. Income-focused funds have been snapping up these preferreds assuming they'll deliver steady payouts, the way traditional preferred shares do. But Schiff says that's not how these work.

"MSTR's business model relies on income-oriented funds buying its 'high-yield' preferred shares. But those published yields will never actually be paid," he wrote. Unlike cumulative preferreds where missed payments pile up and must eventually be paid, MicroStrategy's version gives the company full discretion. Skip a payment? It's gone. Forever.

That flexibility might sound innocuous when everything's running smoothly, but Schiff thinks it's a ticking time bomb. Once fund managers figure out that those dividends "will never actually be paid," they'll "dump the preferreds," cutting off MicroStrategy's ability to issue more. And that's when things could get interesting—in the worst possible way.

Enter the Death Spiral

Schiff didn't mince words with his choice of terminology. He believes MicroStrategy's entire strategy depends on continuously selling more preferred shares to keep the machine running. Lose access to that funding channel, and the whole thing could unravel fast.

Without a steady stream of income buyers, the company's capital-raising engine stalls. The preferred market craters. The stock gets hammered. And the loop feeds on itself: fewer buyers mean fewer declared dividends, which means even fewer buyers willing to step in.

He paired this structural critique with a familiar jab at Bitcoin (BTC), which recently slipped below $90,000. Schiff pointed out the cryptocurrency is "down 40% priced in gold." For him, MicroStrategy's financing gymnastics and Bitcoin's price drop are just different chapters of the same cautionary tale.

What This Means for Shareholders

Schiff's ultimate prediction is about as grim as it gets: he thinks MicroStrategy could "eventually go bankrupt." Whether you buy that scenario or not, his criticism highlights something important—the fine print on these preferred shares matters, and not everyone buying them seems to have read it carefully.

If sentiment around these instruments shifts, they could quickly become the next flashpoint in MicroStrategy's high-wire act. For now, the company hasn't commented on Schiff's warnings.

Back to News

Peter Schiff Predicts MicroStrategy 'Death Spiral' Over Disappearing Dividends

MarketDash Editorial Team
19 days ago
Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff is taking aim at MicroStrategy's preferred shares, warning that the company's dividend structure could trigger a catastrophic unwinding of its entire financing strategy.

Peter Schiff has fired up his ongoing battle with the Bitcoin world again, and this time he's zeroing in on MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) and its chief evangelist Michael Saylor. In a series of posts on X, the gold advocate argued that the company's high-yield preferred shares are fundamentally misunderstood by the very investors buying them.

The crux of his argument? Those advertised yields might never actually show up in anyone's account. "Dividends are only paid if MSTR decides to declare a dividend… Undeclared dividends don't accumulate. They are lost forever," Schiff wrote.

The Fine Print Nobody Read

According to Schiff, the problem isn't just theoretical—it's baked into the structure. Income-focused funds have been snapping up these preferreds assuming they'll deliver steady payouts, the way traditional preferred shares do. But Schiff says that's not how these work.

"MSTR's business model relies on income-oriented funds buying its 'high-yield' preferred shares. But those published yields will never actually be paid," he wrote. Unlike cumulative preferreds where missed payments pile up and must eventually be paid, MicroStrategy's version gives the company full discretion. Skip a payment? It's gone. Forever.

That flexibility might sound innocuous when everything's running smoothly, but Schiff thinks it's a ticking time bomb. Once fund managers figure out that those dividends "will never actually be paid," they'll "dump the preferreds," cutting off MicroStrategy's ability to issue more. And that's when things could get interesting—in the worst possible way.

Enter the Death Spiral

Schiff didn't mince words with his choice of terminology. He believes MicroStrategy's entire strategy depends on continuously selling more preferred shares to keep the machine running. Lose access to that funding channel, and the whole thing could unravel fast.

Without a steady stream of income buyers, the company's capital-raising engine stalls. The preferred market craters. The stock gets hammered. And the loop feeds on itself: fewer buyers mean fewer declared dividends, which means even fewer buyers willing to step in.

He paired this structural critique with a familiar jab at Bitcoin (BTC), which recently slipped below $90,000. Schiff pointed out the cryptocurrency is "down 40% priced in gold." For him, MicroStrategy's financing gymnastics and Bitcoin's price drop are just different chapters of the same cautionary tale.

What This Means for Shareholders

Schiff's ultimate prediction is about as grim as it gets: he thinks MicroStrategy could "eventually go bankrupt." Whether you buy that scenario or not, his criticism highlights something important—the fine print on these preferred shares matters, and not everyone buying them seems to have read it carefully.

If sentiment around these instruments shifts, they could quickly become the next flashpoint in MicroStrategy's high-wire act. For now, the company hasn't commented on Schiff's warnings.