Marketdash
Back to News

Crypto Bettors Give Nvidia 90% Odds to Beat Earnings as AI Giant's 'Super Bowl' Moment Arrives

MarketDash Editorial Team
19 days ago
Nvidia's third-quarter earnings report has crypto prediction markets buzzing with 90% odds the AI chipmaker will beat Wall Street expectations. Analysts warn the results could trigger a record-breaking $320 billion swing in market value as trading floors around the world hold their breath.

Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) reports third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, and if you want to know how confident the market is about another blowout quarter, just check the crypto prediction markets. They're practically screaming bullish.

Crypto Bettors Are Going All In

Over on Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform where people put actual money behind their forecasts, traders are pricing in a 90% chance that Nvidia will report earnings per share exceeding $1.25. That's the Street consensus, and apparently the smart money thinks it's too conservative. More than $170,000 has been wagered on this outcome so far, with the resolution source being the non-GAAP EPS figure in the company's official earnings documents.

But the betting doesn't stop at the headline number. Polymarket users are also wagering on which topics will come up during the earnings call itself. "Gaming" is the heavy favorite, with bettors giving it 98% odds of getting mentioned. "Omniverse" comes in second at 90%. The market resolves to "Yes" if anyone mentions these terms during the call, regardless of context.

Why This Earnings Report Feels Different

There's a reason crypto bettors and Wall Street analysts alike are treating this earnings report like a major event. Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives called it "a Super Bowl not just for tech," but for the entire market. He's not exaggerating when he says trading floors worldwide will go silent as the numbers drop.

The stakes are enormous. This earnings report could trigger a $320 billion swing in Nvidia's market value, either north or south. If that happens, it would mark the largest post-earnings move on record for the chipmaker. When a single earnings call can move a third of a trillion dollars, you understand why people are holding their breath.

Wall Street analysts are projecting third-quarter revenue of $54.87 billion, up significantly from $35.08 billion in the same period last year. And here's the thing: Nvidia has topped revenue expectations for 12 consecutive quarters. The company has made beating estimates look routine, which is why the 90% odds on Polymarket don't seem crazy.

What The Numbers Say

Nvidia shares fell 0.36% in after-hours trading to $180.72. The stock closed 2.80% lower at $181.37 during Tuesday's regular trading session. Despite the recent pullback, the AI chipmaker remains one of the market's most watched names, with Growth ranking as its strongest category at 98.63 out of 100 in proprietary market rankings.

The combination of crypto betting markets, analyst hype, and Nvidia's track record of outperformance has created an unusual amount of anticipation for what's technically just another quarterly earnings report. But when you're the face of the AI boom and your results can move hundreds of billions in market value, nothing about your earnings is routine anymore.

Back to News

Crypto Bettors Give Nvidia 90% Odds to Beat Earnings as AI Giant's 'Super Bowl' Moment Arrives

MarketDash Editorial Team
19 days ago
Nvidia's third-quarter earnings report has crypto prediction markets buzzing with 90% odds the AI chipmaker will beat Wall Street expectations. Analysts warn the results could trigger a record-breaking $320 billion swing in market value as trading floors around the world hold their breath.

Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) reports third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, and if you want to know how confident the market is about another blowout quarter, just check the crypto prediction markets. They're practically screaming bullish.

Crypto Bettors Are Going All In

Over on Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform where people put actual money behind their forecasts, traders are pricing in a 90% chance that Nvidia will report earnings per share exceeding $1.25. That's the Street consensus, and apparently the smart money thinks it's too conservative. More than $170,000 has been wagered on this outcome so far, with the resolution source being the non-GAAP EPS figure in the company's official earnings documents.

But the betting doesn't stop at the headline number. Polymarket users are also wagering on which topics will come up during the earnings call itself. "Gaming" is the heavy favorite, with bettors giving it 98% odds of getting mentioned. "Omniverse" comes in second at 90%. The market resolves to "Yes" if anyone mentions these terms during the call, regardless of context.

Why This Earnings Report Feels Different

There's a reason crypto bettors and Wall Street analysts alike are treating this earnings report like a major event. Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives called it "a Super Bowl not just for tech," but for the entire market. He's not exaggerating when he says trading floors worldwide will go silent as the numbers drop.

The stakes are enormous. This earnings report could trigger a $320 billion swing in Nvidia's market value, either north or south. If that happens, it would mark the largest post-earnings move on record for the chipmaker. When a single earnings call can move a third of a trillion dollars, you understand why people are holding their breath.

Wall Street analysts are projecting third-quarter revenue of $54.87 billion, up significantly from $35.08 billion in the same period last year. And here's the thing: Nvidia has topped revenue expectations for 12 consecutive quarters. The company has made beating estimates look routine, which is why the 90% odds on Polymarket don't seem crazy.

What The Numbers Say

Nvidia shares fell 0.36% in after-hours trading to $180.72. The stock closed 2.80% lower at $181.37 during Tuesday's regular trading session. Despite the recent pullback, the AI chipmaker remains one of the market's most watched names, with Growth ranking as its strongest category at 98.63 out of 100 in proprietary market rankings.

The combination of crypto betting markets, analyst hype, and Nvidia's track record of outperformance has created an unusual amount of anticipation for what's technically just another quarterly earnings report. But when you're the face of the AI boom and your results can move hundreds of billions in market value, nothing about your earnings is routine anymore.