Baidu, Inc. (BIDU) delivered a mixed bag on Tuesday with its third-quarter earnings report, showing declining revenue alongside surprisingly robust profitability that caught analysts' attention.
The Chinese tech giant posted quarterly revenue of $4.38 billion, representing a 7% decline compared to the same period last year. Still, that figure managed to top the Street's consensus estimate of $4.31 billion. The revenue drop tells one story, but profitability tells quite another.
Despite the top-line shortfall, Baidu's adjusted earnings per American Depositary Share hit $1.56, crushing analyst expectations of just 91 cents. That's the kind of beat that makes people reconsider their assumptions.
CEO Robin Li painted an optimistic picture in his remarks, pointing to strong momentum in AI Cloud as more enterprises adopt the company's AI products and solutions. He emphasized that Apollo Go has been rapidly expanding its fully driverless ride-hailing operations, including a notable push into Switzerland, all while maintaining what he called top-tier safety performance. Li also highlighted fast revenue growth from AI-native monetization tools like agents and digital humans, suggesting the company is finding new ways to turn its AI investments into actual dollars.
The market's initial reaction was muted. Baidu shares slipped 1.3% to trade at $115.65 on Wednesday.
Following the earnings announcement, several Wall Street analysts adjusted their outlooks on the stock:
- Goldman Sachs analyst Lincoln Kong maintained a Buy rating and raised his price target from $154 to $155.
- Barclays analyst Jiong Shao kept an Equal-Weight rating while bumping the price target from $81 to $100.
- Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang maintained a Buy rating and lifted the price target from $115 to $158.
- B of A Securities analyst Eddie Leung held his Buy rating and increased the price target from $100 to $151.
- Morgan Stanley analyst Gary Yu maintained an Equal-Weight rating but lowered his price target from $140 to $130.
The analyst moves suggest cautious optimism, with four out of five raising their targets despite the revenue decline. The range of forecasts, spanning from $100 to $158, reflects ongoing uncertainty about how quickly Baidu's AI initiatives will translate into sustained revenue growth.