Walmart Inc. (WMT) delivered a powerhouse third-quarter performance on Thursday, smashing Wall Street's numbers and bumping up its full-year outlook. But here's the catch: while the retail giant says grocery prices are finally stabilizing, tariffs are still lurking in the background as a potential cost accelerator for household items.
It's a classic good news, asterisk situation.
Tariffs: Not as Bad as Feared, But Still a Problem
On the earnings call, Walmart executives revealed that overall inflation across the business is currently sitting in the "low-1% range." That's a meaningful cooldown from the painful highs consumers faced over the past couple of years. But not everything is equally calm. Imported non-food goods—think household items, electronics, apparel—remain more exposed to trade-related cost pressures than groceries.
Incoming CEO John Furner struck a cautiously optimistic tone when discussing the tariff landscape. "We have seen less impact than what we thought we would have expected earlier in the year," Furner told analysts. He pointed to "significant relief across key food categories," which is welcome news for shoppers trying to keep their budgets intact.
The one holdout in the grocery department? Beef. But executives were quick to clarify that beef prices are being driven by commodity cycles, not trade policies.
How Walmart Is Fighting Back Against Price Pressure
Despite the relief on food, the threat to general merchandise is very much alive. Walmart's strategy for protecting customers from tariff-driven price hikes centers on supply chain discipline. Furner praised his team for resisting upward price pressure through smart management of "inventory levels and product mix."
"The team has done a really nice job managing inventory… inventory closed the quarter up 2.6%, roughly half the rate of what we're growing sales," Furner noted.
That kind of tight inventory control gives Walmart room to maintain margins without immediately dumping all tariff costs onto shoppers. To sweeten the deal, the company currently has roughly 7,400 active "rollbacks"—temporary price cuts—in play across its stores.
The Numbers Tell a Strong Story
Financially, Walmart looks well-equipped to weather these pressures. The retail behemoth posted quarterly sales of $179.5 billion, marking a 5.8% jump year-over-year. Much of that growth was driven by upper-income households gravitating toward value—a trend that speaks volumes about the current economic mood.
The company reported third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 62 cents, topping analyst expectations of 60 cents. Riding this momentum, Walmart raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings outlook to a range of $2.58 to $2.63 per share.
Stock Performance Reflects Investor Confidence
WMT shares climbed 19.01% year-to-date, handily outperforming the S&P 500 index's 11.42% gain. The stock closed 6.46% higher at $107.11 on Thursday, though it dipped 0.21% in after-hours trading. Over the full year, the stock was up 21.18%.
The stock has maintained a stronger price trend over the medium and long terms, with a weaker short-term trend but a solid quality ranking overall.
So here's where things stand: Walmart is executing well, managing inventory tightly, and delivering results that justify investor enthusiasm. Food inflation is cooling off in most categories, which is genuinely helpful for the millions of households that shop there weekly. But tariffs remain the wildcard—especially for non-food merchandise. The company has navigated the situation better than expected so far, but if trade tensions escalate or new tariffs hit, those household goods could get pricier. For now, Walmart seems prepared to absorb what it can and pass along what it must, all while keeping shoppers engaged with thousands of rollbacks. It's a balancing act, and so far, they're pulling it off.