Cardano (ADA) is having the kind of month that makes crypto holders question their life choices. The token has cratered 42% in November, and just when you thought things couldn't get worse, some technical drama with node software added fuel to an already painful selloff.
When Your Software Update Actually Matters
Here's what happened: a bunch of Cardano node operators discovered their systems had stopped producing blocks. The culprit? They were running older versions of the software while the network had moved on.
Naturally, this sparked panic on social media with claims that Cardano had completely shut down. But operators who'd actually updated their nodes reported everything was humming along just fine. The blockchain itself never went down—it was just a case of some folks not keeping their software current.
The confusion cleared up relatively quickly, but the optics weren't great for a network already under pressure from brutal price action.
The Chart Tells a Grim Story
From a technical perspective, ADA has been in freefall mode. The token has slipped to around $0.40 after breaking through several key support levels that had held for months. Sellers have dominated the entire month, and there's been no meaningful sign of buyers stepping in to defend any price level.
The next major support zone sits between $0.36 and $0.32. This is historically where Cardano has found its footing during previous drawdowns, so traders are laser-focused on whether it can stabilize in that range.
The moving average picture is equally bleak. ADA is trading well below its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages—all stacked in perfect bearish formation. Every time the price has tried to bounce in recent weeks, it's stalled right at the declining 20-day EMA. That's textbook seller dominance.
The Relative Strength Index sits near 24, which signals oversold conditions. But here's the thing about oversold: it doesn't automatically mean a reversal is coming. It just means the selling has been relentless.
The Money Is Leaving
On-chain data paints an uncomfortable picture. Cardano saw roughly $18.5 million in outflows on November 21, marking the worst single-day exodus of the entire month. When capital is flowing out at that pace, any recovery becomes that much harder to achieve.
Until those outflows ease up and actual buying pressure returns, ADA's chances of mounting a meaningful comeback remain limited at best.
Breaking Down in New Ways
For most of 2025, Cardano traded within fairly predictable ranges and patterns. Now those structures are breaking down in ways the chart hasn't seen since 2023. That's significant because it suggests a genuine shift in market sentiment rather than just routine volatility.
The $0.36 to $0.32 region represents more than just technical support levels. It's about to become the first real test of whether long-term holders still believe in Cardano's fundamental story. If that zone fails to hold, the next leg down could get uncomfortable quickly.
For now, the combination of technical breakdown, node software confusion, and accelerating outflows has created a perfect storm for ADA. Whether the token can stabilize and rebuild confidence depends largely on what happens when price tests that critical support zone in the coming sessions.