NIO Inc. (NIO) is getting some pre-earnings attention as investors gear up for the Chinese electric vehicle maker's third quarter results, scheduled to hit the tape Tuesday morning before markets open.
What the Street Expects
Analysts are penciling in a loss of 24 cents per share on revenue of $3.26 billion. That would represent a modest improvement from last quarter's 25-cent loss, which actually beat expectations—analysts had been bracing for a 30-cent loss. Revenue last quarter came in at $2.65 billion, though that missed the $2.76 billion consensus.
Here's the thing about NIO: the company has shown it can surprise on the earnings line, but revenue has been trickier. The track record there is less impressive, which matters when you're trying to gauge whether this EV maker can scale effectively.
The Technical Picture Gets Interesting
Right now, NIO is trading within its 52-week range of $3.02 to $8.02—a pretty wide band that tells you all you need to know about volatility. The stock is up 21.1% year-to-date, which sounds decent until you realize it's still trading roughly 20.9% below its 50-day moving average of $6.96.
The Relative Strength Index sits at 25.29, firmly in oversold territory. That could signal a bounce is brewing if buyers show up, but there's a catch. The 200-day moving average at $4.98 sits about 10.5% above the current price, creating a potential resistance zone if the stock were to slide further.
Immediate resistance shows up at $6.32, which lines up with recent trading action. Break through that level, and NIO might have a shot at testing that 50-day moving average. The psychological $6.00 level could also prove sticky in the near term.
What It Means for Traders
With a market cap of $13.31 billion, NIO ranks as a mid-sized player in the electric vehicle space. The technical setup suggests potential for a bounce given those oversold readings, but caution is warranted. A decisive move above $6.32 could flip momentum and set up a run toward the 50-day moving average. Fail to hold above that 200-day moving average, though, and further downside becomes the more likely scenario.
Price Action: At the time of writing, NIO shares are trading essentially flat, up 0.19% at $5.415.