The AI Trade Just Hit a Wall

MarketDash Editorial Team
17 days ago
Nvidia posted solid earnings and still got hammered. Bitcoin is down 32% from its peak. And the AI stocks that dominated 2024 are suddenly getting liquidated. Is this the reset before the next leg up, or something worse?

When Good Earnings Don't Matter Anymore

Here's a fun market signal: when a company beats expectations and still gets sold into oblivion. That's exactly what happened to Nvidia (NVDA) this week. The chip giant posted a strong earnings report Wednesday evening and popped 5-6% in after-hours trading. By Thursday's close? Red.

The numbers themselves were solid. No real complaints there. But none of that mattered as the broader market unloaded AI-linked stocks with aggressive force. The entire day's gains evaporated as macro fear took over and investors decided to ask uncomfortable questions about whether datacenter margins have peaked and whether everyone got a little too excited about AI growth projections.

When your market darling reports great earnings and investors still hit the sell button, that's the market trying to tell you something.

Crypto's Ugly Drawdown

While tech stocks were struggling, crypto was having an even worse time. Bitcoin is now trading around $86,000, which sounds fine until you remember it hit $126,200 not that long ago. That's a 31.9% drop from the peak. Ethereum (ETH-USD) is doing even worse, down to $2,800 from its $4,955 all-time high—a brutal 43.5% decline that marks one of the sharpest drawdowns this year.

The speed of this selloff has traders split into camps. Some think this is the end of the crypto cycle. Others see it as a violent mid-cycle correction that happens before the next run. Liquidity is drying up, leveraged players are getting forced out, and risk appetite has basically vanished. But if you ask the long-term holders, they'll tell you this is exactly when you should be dollar-cost averaging.

The Whole AI Complex Got Liquidated

Thursday wasn't just about Nvidia. The entire AI trade that carried the market through 2024 and into 2025 got hammered. Memory and storage plays like Micron (MU), SanDisk (SNDK), and Pure Storage saw heavy distribution. Speculative AI infrastructure names like Nebius Group (NBIS), Iris Energy (IREN), and Cipher Mining took even harder hits with sharp, high-volume selling.

This wasn't money rotating into other sectors. This was liquidation. When both the high-beta speculative names and the high-quality AI stocks fall together, it means the market is questioning the entire thesis. Is the AI bubble actually popping? Or is this just a painful reset before the next wave of capital expenditure and compute demand kicks in?

Nobody knows for sure yet. But Thursday's trading was a useful reminder that even the hottest themes don't go up in straight lines forever. Sometimes the market needs to shake out the weak hands and repricing expectations before it can move higher. Whether that's what's happening here or something more serious remains to be seen.

The AI story isn't necessarily over. But it's definitely getting more complicated.

The AI Trade Just Hit a Wall

MarketDash Editorial Team
17 days ago
Nvidia posted solid earnings and still got hammered. Bitcoin is down 32% from its peak. And the AI stocks that dominated 2024 are suddenly getting liquidated. Is this the reset before the next leg up, or something worse?

When Good Earnings Don't Matter Anymore

Here's a fun market signal: when a company beats expectations and still gets sold into oblivion. That's exactly what happened to Nvidia (NVDA) this week. The chip giant posted a strong earnings report Wednesday evening and popped 5-6% in after-hours trading. By Thursday's close? Red.

The numbers themselves were solid. No real complaints there. But none of that mattered as the broader market unloaded AI-linked stocks with aggressive force. The entire day's gains evaporated as macro fear took over and investors decided to ask uncomfortable questions about whether datacenter margins have peaked and whether everyone got a little too excited about AI growth projections.

When your market darling reports great earnings and investors still hit the sell button, that's the market trying to tell you something.

Crypto's Ugly Drawdown

While tech stocks were struggling, crypto was having an even worse time. Bitcoin is now trading around $86,000, which sounds fine until you remember it hit $126,200 not that long ago. That's a 31.9% drop from the peak. Ethereum (ETH-USD) is doing even worse, down to $2,800 from its $4,955 all-time high—a brutal 43.5% decline that marks one of the sharpest drawdowns this year.

The speed of this selloff has traders split into camps. Some think this is the end of the crypto cycle. Others see it as a violent mid-cycle correction that happens before the next run. Liquidity is drying up, leveraged players are getting forced out, and risk appetite has basically vanished. But if you ask the long-term holders, they'll tell you this is exactly when you should be dollar-cost averaging.

The Whole AI Complex Got Liquidated

Thursday wasn't just about Nvidia. The entire AI trade that carried the market through 2024 and into 2025 got hammered. Memory and storage plays like Micron (MU), SanDisk (SNDK), and Pure Storage saw heavy distribution. Speculative AI infrastructure names like Nebius Group (NBIS), Iris Energy (IREN), and Cipher Mining took even harder hits with sharp, high-volume selling.

This wasn't money rotating into other sectors. This was liquidation. When both the high-beta speculative names and the high-quality AI stocks fall together, it means the market is questioning the entire thesis. Is the AI bubble actually popping? Or is this just a painful reset before the next wave of capital expenditure and compute demand kicks in?

Nobody knows for sure yet. But Thursday's trading was a useful reminder that even the hottest themes don't go up in straight lines forever. Sometimes the market needs to shake out the weak hands and repricing expectations before it can move higher. Whether that's what's happening here or something more serious remains to be seen.

The AI story isn't necessarily over. But it's definitely getting more complicated.