BILL Holdings Inc. (BILL) is having a terrible year. The stock is down more than 40% year-to-date, and Wall Street seems convinced the SaaS boom-era story is over. Sentiment is shot, analysts are skeptical, and the market has mostly moved on.
But here's the interesting part: while everyone else walked away, three billionaire hedge fund managers walked in. Steven Cohen, Paul Singer, and Jeffrey Smith have each been building positions around $50 a share. That's not random. That's a signal.
The Billionaire Shopping Spree
Cohen's Point72 Asset Management recently increased its stake by more than 180%, bringing its total to 5.04 million shares. Paul Singer's Elliott Investment Management opened a completely new position with 3 million shares. And Jeffrey Smith's Starboard Value—already a major holder—added another 1.62 million shares to reach 8.64 million total.
Three different funds with different strategies, but they all reached the same conclusion: BILL at $50 is mispriced. And they're not betting on some magical return to hypergrowth. They're betting on margin math—the cash flow BILL can generate once it stops spending like a growth-at-all-costs startup and starts running like a disciplined payments infrastructure company.
This Is About Operational Pressure, Not Hope
Cohen, Singer, and Smith don't buy beaten-down stocks to sit around hoping for the best. They buy to force change—through board pressure, operational overhauls, and relentless accountability.
The bull case for BILL in 2025 isn't "maybe growth comes back eventually." It's cost discipline leading to margin expansion leading to valuation reset. That's the playbook. And based on when these guys started buying, they think the turnaround work begins now, not after a few more quarters of disappointing earnings.
The chart says BILL is broken. The billionaire entry price says the opportunity starts at $50. When Cohen, Singer, and Smith all converge on the same stock at the same price, they're not looking for a modest bounce. They're positioning for a complete rerate.