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Trump's Tariff Rollbacks: An Accidental Econ 101 Lesson, Says Top Economist

MarketDash Editorial Team
12 days ago
When you start cutting tariffs to lower prices, you're basically admitting tariffs raise prices. Economist Justin Wolfers says Trump's policy reversal is a remarkable admission—and warns the fiscal cost is massive.

The Quiet Part Said Out Loud

There's something almost poetic about a president who spent years championing tariffs as economic magic now quietly rolling them back because prices got too high. Justin Wolfers, a University of Michigan economist and Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, sees it differently though: he calls it a "remarkable admission" that the tariffs were raising prices all along.

President Donald Trump recently issued executive orders eliminating tariffs on specific Brazilian exports and lowering duties on agricultural imports including beef, coffee, and tomatoes. The moves came as voters increasingly blamed him for an "affordability crisis" gripping the economy in November 2025, with grocery bills becoming a flashpoint in polling data.

When Policy Meets Reality

Wolfers argues the administration's selective tariff cuts reveal something important: they privately understand the basic economics, even while publicly minimizing inflation concerns. "If they're rolling back some of the tariffs, that's a sign that they understand the tariffs are not helpful," Wolfers stated in a video interview highlighted on X.

The contradiction is hard to miss. An administration that heavily promoted tariffs as a cornerstone policy is now cutting them to provide price relief. Wolfers characterizes this sudden shift as proof the President has finally learned what undergraduates absorb in "Econ 101, which is, tariffs raise prices."

The Logic Problem

Here's where Wolfers poses the uncomfortable question: If cutting a few highly visible tariffs helps affordability, what exactly do they think the massive amount of tariffs still in place is doing to consumer prices? It's a bit like admitting aspirin cures your headache while refusing to acknowledge what caused the headache in the first place.

The $800 Billion Bill

While these emergency rollbacks might ease immediate consumer pain, they come with a hefty long-term price tag. The Congressional Budget Office recently released projections showing these tariff reductions have erased nearly $800 billion in anticipated national debt reduction over the next decade. That's a significant hit to the administration's budget outlook, all to address a problem their own policies created.

Favors For The Big Guys

Wolfers takes his critique further, arguing that Trump's economic approach has moved away from broad free-market principles toward a system that grants access and favors to "big behemoths." He referenced Trump's habit of calling Apple Inc. (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook "Tim Apple"—suggesting the administration favors large corporations with direct lines to the White House while disadvantaging smaller, innovative competitors who lack that access.

It's a system where economic policy becomes less about consistent principles and more about who has the President's phone number.

Market Response

Markets seemed unfazed by the political drama. On Wednesday, futures for the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones indices traded higher following a positive Tuesday close.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index respectively, both climbed in premarket trading Wednesday. SPY gained 0.29% to $677.01, while QQQ advanced 0.36% to $611.10, according to market data.

The market's calm suggests investors may be more focused on the relief from tariff rollbacks than worried about the long-term fiscal implications or what it all means for policy coherence.

Back to News

Trump's Tariff Rollbacks: An Accidental Econ 101 Lesson, Says Top Economist

MarketDash Editorial Team
12 days ago
When you start cutting tariffs to lower prices, you're basically admitting tariffs raise prices. Economist Justin Wolfers says Trump's policy reversal is a remarkable admission—and warns the fiscal cost is massive.

The Quiet Part Said Out Loud

There's something almost poetic about a president who spent years championing tariffs as economic magic now quietly rolling them back because prices got too high. Justin Wolfers, a University of Michigan economist and Brookings Institution Senior Fellow, sees it differently though: he calls it a "remarkable admission" that the tariffs were raising prices all along.

President Donald Trump recently issued executive orders eliminating tariffs on specific Brazilian exports and lowering duties on agricultural imports including beef, coffee, and tomatoes. The moves came as voters increasingly blamed him for an "affordability crisis" gripping the economy in November 2025, with grocery bills becoming a flashpoint in polling data.

When Policy Meets Reality

Wolfers argues the administration's selective tariff cuts reveal something important: they privately understand the basic economics, even while publicly minimizing inflation concerns. "If they're rolling back some of the tariffs, that's a sign that they understand the tariffs are not helpful," Wolfers stated in a video interview highlighted on X.

The contradiction is hard to miss. An administration that heavily promoted tariffs as a cornerstone policy is now cutting them to provide price relief. Wolfers characterizes this sudden shift as proof the President has finally learned what undergraduates absorb in "Econ 101, which is, tariffs raise prices."

The Logic Problem

Here's where Wolfers poses the uncomfortable question: If cutting a few highly visible tariffs helps affordability, what exactly do they think the massive amount of tariffs still in place is doing to consumer prices? It's a bit like admitting aspirin cures your headache while refusing to acknowledge what caused the headache in the first place.

The $800 Billion Bill

While these emergency rollbacks might ease immediate consumer pain, they come with a hefty long-term price tag. The Congressional Budget Office recently released projections showing these tariff reductions have erased nearly $800 billion in anticipated national debt reduction over the next decade. That's a significant hit to the administration's budget outlook, all to address a problem their own policies created.

Favors For The Big Guys

Wolfers takes his critique further, arguing that Trump's economic approach has moved away from broad free-market principles toward a system that grants access and favors to "big behemoths." He referenced Trump's habit of calling Apple Inc. (AAPL) CEO Tim Cook "Tim Apple"—suggesting the administration favors large corporations with direct lines to the White House while disadvantaging smaller, innovative competitors who lack that access.

It's a system where economic policy becomes less about consistent principles and more about who has the President's phone number.

Market Response

Markets seemed unfazed by the political drama. On Wednesday, futures for the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow Jones indices traded higher following a positive Tuesday close.

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ), which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index respectively, both climbed in premarket trading Wednesday. SPY gained 0.29% to $677.01, while QQQ advanced 0.36% to $611.10, according to market data.

The market's calm suggests investors may be more focused on the relief from tariff rollbacks than worried about the long-term fiscal implications or what it all means for policy coherence.