Sometimes the market just wants to celebrate Thanksgiving early, regardless of what the sentiment indicators say. U.S. stocks rallied sharply on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones climbing more than 300 points as traders headed into the holiday weekend. This happened even as the CNN Money Fear and Greed Index stayed firmly planted in "Extreme Fear" territory.
The standout performers tell an interesting story about where investor enthusiasm is actually focused. Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) jumped 5.8% after reporting strong demand for AI servers and raising its guidance—exactly the kind of artificial intelligence-driven momentum that's been moving markets lately. Meanwhile, Robinhood Markets Inc. (HOOD) surged 11% on news it's launching a futures and derivatives exchange to expand its prediction-market offerings. Apparently Wall Street likes when trading platforms find new things for people to trade.
The economic data painted a picture of resilience that probably helped fuel the rally. Initial jobless claims for the week ending November 22 came in at 216,000, down from 222,000 the previous week and below the 225,000 consensus forecast. Lower layoffs mean consumers have more money to spend, which matters quite a bit heading into the holiday shopping season.
Other economic releases were more mixed. U.S. durable goods orders increased 0.5% month-over-month in September compared to a revised 3.0% gain in August. The Chicago PMI, however, declined to 36.3 in November from 43.8 in the previous month, missing market expectations of 44.3.
Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed in positive territory, with utilities, information technology, and materials stocks recording the biggest gains on Wednesday. Communication services and healthcare stocks were the party poopers, closing lower and bucking the overall market trend.
The final scoreboard showed the Dow Jones closing higher by around 315 points to 47,427.12. The S&P 500 gained 0.69% to 6,812.61, while the Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.82% to 23,214.69 during the session.
Investors are waiting on earnings results from Chagee Holdings Ltd. (CHA) and Globus Maritime Ltd. (GLBS) today.
Understanding the Fear & Greed Index
Here's the curious part: while stocks rallied, the Fear & Greed Index actually ticked down slightly to 18.3 on Thursday from a prior reading of 18.7, staying deep in "Extreme Fear" territory. So much for that rally changing anyone's mind.
The Fear & Greed Index measures current market sentiment based on the premise that higher fear puts pressure on stock prices, while higher greed pushes them up. The index calculates sentiment using seven equal-weighted indicators, ranging from 0 (maximum fear) to 100 (maximum greediness). At 18.3, we're closer to panic than party mode—at least according to this particular gauge, even if Wednesday's price action suggested otherwise.