Wall Street kept the party going Friday, marching toward a fifth straight day of gains as investors piled back into risk assets with renewed enthusiasm. The rally has been broad and energetic, sweeping up tech stocks, crypto names, and commodities in what's shaping up to be the market's strongest five-day stretch since May.
What's driving this sudden burst of optimism? Interest rate expectations have shifted dramatically. Traders now see an 88% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points at its December 10 meeting, according to CME FedWatch data. That's a massive jump from just 50% odds last week. When the market starts pricing in easier monetary policy, risk appetite tends to come roaring back.
By midday Friday, the S&P 500 had climbed 0.4% to 6,840, sitting tantalizingly close to its all-time high with just 1% separating the index from record territory. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 performed even better, rising 0.6% above 25,340. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added a solid 300 points to trade near 47,730, eyeing what could be a record-high close.
Tech Stocks Bounce Back
Intel Corp. (INTC) led the S&P 500's charge higher, jumping nearly 8% as dip-buyers returned to scoop up November's beaten-down tech names. It's a familiar pattern: when sentiment improves and rate cut hopes build, investors rush back into the stocks they'd been avoiding.
The crypto corner of the market saw particularly sharp moves. After Bitcoin (BTC) steadied near the $90,000 level, related equities caught a bid. Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL) surged 10%, while Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) gained 3.5% and Strategy Inc. (MSTR) added 2.2%. When Bitcoin stabilizes after a volatile stretch, these stocks tend to move in sympathy.
Silver's Historic Surge
The real fireworks, though, were happening in commodities markets. Silver absolutely ripped higher, surging nearly 5% to an all-time high of $55.80. This wasn't just a good day for the white metal; it's been a spectacular year. Silver is now up 93% year-to-date, putting it on track for its best annual performance since 1979.
The rally has fundamental support behind it. Chinese inventories have dropped to their lowest levels in a decade as increased exports to London have tightened global supply. When you combine constrained supply with robust demand, prices tend to do what silver did Friday.
Gold joined the party too, rising 1% to $4,200, though it was silver's day to shine. Copper also posted solid gains, climbing 2.5% to $5.30 per pound on persistent supply issues. The red metal is now up 31% for the year, marking its strongest annual performance since 2010.
Energy Commodities Join the Rally
Energy markets weren't content to sit on the sidelines. Natural gas prices at the Henry Hub facility jumped 4.5% to $4.80 per million British thermal units, hitting a fresh three-year high. That's a meaningful move for an energy source that's been relatively subdued in recent years.
Crude oil climbed 1.5% as earlier momentum from losses faded. The dynamics here are interesting: optimism about a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal had initially pressured prices, but that sentiment cooled Friday. As markets adjusted their expectations and trimmed short positions, oil found some footing.
Market Performance By the Numbers
By early afternoon, the major indices were all firmly in positive territory. The Dow Jones stood at 47,761.98, up 0.7%. The Nasdaq 100 reached 25,394.23, gaining 0.6%, while the S&P 500 hit 6,844.19, up 0.5%. Even the small-cap Russell 2000 participated, rising 0.3% to 2,494.57.
Looking at the ETF landscape, the moves were consistent with the broader rally. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF rose 0.5% to $628.02. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 0.7% to $477.49. The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series climbed 0.6% to $617.91, while the iShares Russell 2000 ETF gained 0.4% to $248.34.
Sector performance showed some interesting divergences. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund outperformed with a 1.3% gain, benefiting from strength in energy commodities. On the flip side, the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund lagged, declining 0.6%.
Winners and Losers in the Russell 1000
Among Russell 1000 components, Circle Internet Group Inc. (CRCL) topped the leaderboard with an 11.40% surge. Intel Corp. (INTC) followed with its 8.68% rally, while Coherent Corp. (COHR) jumped 7.54%. Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) gained 5.47%, and Reddit Inc. (RDDT) rounded out the top five with a 4.84% advance.
Not everyone had a great day. AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) dropped 5.07%, making it the session's biggest loser. RLI Corp. (RLI) fell 3.15%, while Eli Lilly and Co. (LLY) declined 2.80%. Medpace Holdings Inc. (MEDP) dropped 2.69%, and Halozyme Therapeutics Inc. (HALO) slipped 2.51%.
The breadth of Friday's rally speaks to a market that's regained its confidence. When stocks, crypto, and commodities are all moving higher together, it suggests investors are feeling optimistic about the economic outlook and comfortable taking on risk. Whether this momentum continues will depend largely on incoming economic data and what the Federal Reserve actually does in December, but for now, the bulls are clearly in control.