Bitcoin (BTC) had a rough start to December, tumbling nearly 6% over 24 hours as leveraged traders got crushed in one of the fastest liquidation cascades in weeks. The cryptocurrency shed almost $4,000 in what felt like the blink of an eye, leaving bulls scrambling and commentators searching for explanations.
Speculation Drove the Drop, Not Fundamentals
Jim Cramer weighed in quickly, arguing that the selloff had everything to do with leverage and speculation, and nothing to do with Bitcoin's underlying fundamentals or the companies investors typically follow. In a post on X, Cramer said the morning chaos matched what he'd outlined in his Sunday note, where he warned that Bitcoin and speculative trading tend to "collaborate to start the month horribly."
He also pointed to a jump in Japan's 10-year yield as a possible amplifier, suggesting macro crosscurrents may have added fuel to an already volatile situation. The key takeaway? This wasn't a story about Bitcoin breaking down as an asset. It was about traders getting caught on the wrong side of a thin, overleveraged market.
The numbers back that up. According to data cited by The Kobeissi Letter, more than $400 million in leveraged long positions evaporated during the drop. That's a staggering amount of forced selling compressed into a very short window.
Thin Liquidity and High Leverage Created a Perfect Storm
The Kobeissi Letter noted there was no obvious news catalyst for the decline. Instead, the move reflected thin liquidity, a pattern that tends to show up during low-volume sessions late in the week. When fewer buyers are standing by to absorb selling pressure, even modest initial declines can spiral quickly.
High leverage made things worse. When prices started falling, margin calls and automatic liquidations kicked in, forcing more selling and pushing prices lower still. It's a feedback loop that's appeared several times this year, pointing to structural liquidity issues in crypto markets rather than any deterioration in Bitcoin's long-term case.
Analysts have been warning about this dynamic for months. When leverage ratios climb and liquidity pools shrink, especially around weekend trading, routine price swings can turn into dramatic moves. That's exactly what happened here.
Technical Picture Weakens After Trendline Break
Bitcoin's technical structure took a hit after the sharp rejection near the upper Keltner band and clustered exponential moving averages around $92,000. The selloff broke the rising two-hour trendline and sent the price from the top of the channel straight down through the lower Keltner band.
Staying below the $89,000 zone keeps the short-term outlook tilted downward. If buyers can't reclaim that level and push back above the Keltner body, analysts warn the next stop could be around $78,000. For a meaningful recovery, Bitcoin needs to break back above the trendline and regain the Keltner structure, signaling that buyers are back in control.
Meanwhile, exchange flow data from Coinglass shows Bitcoin recorded approximately $367 million in net outflows early Monday, one of the heaviest spot withdrawals in weeks. That continues a month-long pattern of persistent red prints, indicating that exchange participants have been offloading positions rather than adding exposure. When combined with the technical breakdown and liquidation cascade, it paints a picture of a market under pressure in the near term.
The question now is whether this was a one-off shakeout driven by overleveraged positioning, or the start of something more sustained. Cramer's framing suggests the former, but the technical damage and ongoing outflows mean bulls have work to do if they want to stabilize things heading into the rest of December.