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Meta's Stock Slump Might Actually Be the Setup Bulls Have Been Waiting For

MarketDash Editorial Team
7 days ago
Meta has dropped for four straight months as AI spending plans balloon to $70 billion. But some investors see the selloff as a temporary reaction to a long-term strategic shift that could reshape the entire AI chip market.

Meta Platforms Inc. (META) just wrapped up its fourth straight losing month, and investors are starting to get nervous. The stock slipped 1.6% in November, sitting well below its 52-week high of $796, and people are asking whether the AI trade has finally run out of road. But here's the thing: bulls aren't panicking. They're looking at the same numbers and seeing something completely different.

When Big Spending Meets Big Skepticism

Meta is still up more than 9% over the past year, which isn't terrible. But sentiment has turned sour as the company announced plans to push capital spending to a staggering $70 billion to $72 billion for 2025. That's a massive jump from 2024 levels, and bears are treating it like the company is lighting money on fire. Bulls, on the other hand, argue this is what building the future looks like — it just happens to be expensive and uncomfortable in real time.

From a technical perspective, the chart is telling an interesting story. Meta just printed a massive hammer-style monthly candle after dropping to November lows, which historically signals aggressive dip-buying and potential reversals. And here's a fun fact: META has never logged five straight red months in its entire 13.5-year trading history. If you're a contrarian, that's starting to look like a setup.

The Nvidia Problem Nobody Saw Coming

The most fascinating part of this story isn't Meta's stock price. It's what Meta is doing behind the scenes that could fundamentally shift power in the AI chip market. Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) controls somewhere between 80% and 95% of the global AI accelerator market, which is an absolutely dominant position. But Meta isn't comfortable with that kind of dependency.

Reports suggest Meta is openly exploring a multi-year deal to rent Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOG) Google TPU chips starting in 2026, with plans to run them inside Meta data centers by 2027. Even a partial migration matters when a single hyperscaler like Meta can account for a mid-teens share of Nvidia's total demand. According to reports, this shift could shave up to 10% off Nvidia's annual sales.

Wall Street is already reacting. Nvidia has shed more than $700 billion in value from its peak, while Alphabet is climbing closer to a $4 trillion market cap as investors start pricing TPU revenue like an actual business line instead of a science project.

Why the Selloff Might Be Missing the Point

Yes, Meta's stock is bleeding momentum. But while everyone argues about margins and near-term spending, Meta is quietly strengthening its AI infrastructure and reducing strategic risk. If the company succeeds in broadening the chip supply chain, it won't just lower its dependency on a single vendor — it could reshape competitive dynamics across the entire AI economy.

The stock chart looks rough right now. Nobody's pretending otherwise. But the strategy underneath it looks like something bigger. If Meta's AI engine hits full stride in 2026 and 2027, this stretch of red months might age like the 2022 panic bottom — painful to live through, but obvious in hindsight. Bulls are betting that's exactly what's happening here, and they're willing to sit through the discomfort to find out if they're right.

Back to News

Meta's Stock Slump Might Actually Be the Setup Bulls Have Been Waiting For

MarketDash Editorial Team
7 days ago
Meta has dropped for four straight months as AI spending plans balloon to $70 billion. But some investors see the selloff as a temporary reaction to a long-term strategic shift that could reshape the entire AI chip market.

Meta Platforms Inc. (META) just wrapped up its fourth straight losing month, and investors are starting to get nervous. The stock slipped 1.6% in November, sitting well below its 52-week high of $796, and people are asking whether the AI trade has finally run out of road. But here's the thing: bulls aren't panicking. They're looking at the same numbers and seeing something completely different.

When Big Spending Meets Big Skepticism

Meta is still up more than 9% over the past year, which isn't terrible. But sentiment has turned sour as the company announced plans to push capital spending to a staggering $70 billion to $72 billion for 2025. That's a massive jump from 2024 levels, and bears are treating it like the company is lighting money on fire. Bulls, on the other hand, argue this is what building the future looks like — it just happens to be expensive and uncomfortable in real time.

From a technical perspective, the chart is telling an interesting story. Meta just printed a massive hammer-style monthly candle after dropping to November lows, which historically signals aggressive dip-buying and potential reversals. And here's a fun fact: META has never logged five straight red months in its entire 13.5-year trading history. If you're a contrarian, that's starting to look like a setup.

The Nvidia Problem Nobody Saw Coming

The most fascinating part of this story isn't Meta's stock price. It's what Meta is doing behind the scenes that could fundamentally shift power in the AI chip market. Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) controls somewhere between 80% and 95% of the global AI accelerator market, which is an absolutely dominant position. But Meta isn't comfortable with that kind of dependency.

Reports suggest Meta is openly exploring a multi-year deal to rent Alphabet Inc.'s (GOOG) Google TPU chips starting in 2026, with plans to run them inside Meta data centers by 2027. Even a partial migration matters when a single hyperscaler like Meta can account for a mid-teens share of Nvidia's total demand. According to reports, this shift could shave up to 10% off Nvidia's annual sales.

Wall Street is already reacting. Nvidia has shed more than $700 billion in value from its peak, while Alphabet is climbing closer to a $4 trillion market cap as investors start pricing TPU revenue like an actual business line instead of a science project.

Why the Selloff Might Be Missing the Point

Yes, Meta's stock is bleeding momentum. But while everyone argues about margins and near-term spending, Meta is quietly strengthening its AI infrastructure and reducing strategic risk. If the company succeeds in broadening the chip supply chain, it won't just lower its dependency on a single vendor — it could reshape competitive dynamics across the entire AI economy.

The stock chart looks rough right now. Nobody's pretending otherwise. But the strategy underneath it looks like something bigger. If Meta's AI engine hits full stride in 2026 and 2027, this stretch of red months might age like the 2022 panic bottom — painful to live through, but obvious in hindsight. Bulls are betting that's exactly what's happening here, and they're willing to sit through the discomfort to find out if they're right.