If you were stuck in an airport security line the Sunday after Thanksgiving, congratulations—you were part of history. TSA screened 3,133,924 passengers on November 30, setting a new all-time record for U.S. air travel. That's roughly the entire population of Chicago trying to fly in a single day.
Breaking Records Left and Right
The Thanksgiving travel rush didn't just edge past the old record; it smashed it. The previous high of 3,096,797 passengers was set back in June, and now that's been pushed to second place. What's really striking is that all 10 of the busiest travel days in U.S. history have occurred in just the past two years.
Here's how the top 10 shakes out:
- Nov. 30, 2025: 3,133,924
- June 22, 2025: 3,096,797
- Dec. 1, 2024: 3,088,836
- July 20, 2025: 3,043,973
- July 6, 2025: 3,041,954
- July 27, 2025: 3,017,861
- Oct. 10, 2025: 3,017,612
- July 7, 2024: 3,013,622
- May 23, 2025: 3,010,183
- July 13, 2025: 3,007,773
The Thanksgiving week as a whole saw over 18 million passengers screened between Tuesday, November 25, and Monday, December 1. Americans clearly weren't letting anything keep them from their turkey and family drama this year.
Why This Matters for Airline Stocks
Packed airports might spell misery for travelers and airport staff, but for airline investors, this could be exactly the news they've been waiting for. The timing is particularly significant because these record numbers arrive less than a month after the end of a brutal 43-day government shutdown.
That shutdown created serious operational headaches for airlines. Air traffic controllers and other essential federal employees weren't getting paid, leading to staffing shortages that forced carriers to cut flights. Revenue took a hit, and the major airlines are likely still feeling those effects in their current quarterly numbers.
But here's the silver lining: record-breaking Thanksgiving travel suggests demand hasn't just recovered—it's thriving. Major carriers like American Airlines Group (AAL), Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings (UAL), and Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) all stand to benefit from what were likely jam-packed flights over the holiday period.
These airlines will report their quarterly earnings in January, and while the government shutdown will probably show up as a drag on overall performance, the Thanksgiving surge could help offset some of that weakness. Strong year-end travel numbers give analysts and investors something positive to focus on heading into 2026.
The ETF Angle
For investors looking to play the airline recovery without picking individual stocks, the U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) offers broad exposure to the sector. The four major carriers mentioned above are the fund's largest holdings, so JETS essentially rises and falls with their fortunes.
The ETF closed up 1.71% at $26.65 on Tuesday, inching closer to its 52-week high from January. If the airlines deliver solid earnings next month and convince investors that the shutdown disruption was temporary, JETS could push through to new highs.
Between recovering from government dysfunction and now posting record passenger numbers, the airline sector might finally be ready for takeoff. Whether that momentum carries through the first quarter of 2026 will depend on how well carriers managed their operations during the chaos and whether travel demand continues at these elevated levels.