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OpenAI Hits the Panic Button as Google's Gemini 3 Steals Market Share

MarketDash Editorial Team
5 days ago
Sam Altman just declared Code Red at OpenAI, freezing revenue plans to fix ChatGPT's problems. Google's Gemini 3 is eating their lunch, and the AI wars just flipped completely upside down.

Remember when OpenAI was the scrappy upstart that sent Google into a full-blown existential crisis? Well, the tables have turned in spectacular fashion. Sam Altman just hit the emergency brake at OpenAI, declaring "Code Red" and freezing the company's entire monetization roadmap. The reason? Google's Gemini 3 is absolutely crushing it, and ChatGPT is bleeding users.

The Hunter Becomes the Hunted

The timing here is almost poetic. It's been exactly three years since Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) (GOOGL) issued its own "Code Red" after ChatGPT's 2022 launch threatened to obliterate Google's search dominance. Now OpenAI finds itself in the same desperate position, scrambling to salvage what's left of its market position.

According to leaked internal memos, OpenAI is immediately pausing some of its most anticipated revenue drivers. We're talking search ads integration, "agentic" shopping features, and the Pulse personal assistant. All those shiny new products? Shelved. Instead, every available resource is being redirected toward fixing latency issues and reasoning deficits in ChatGPT.

This isn't just a minor course correction. This is a company in full panic mode, essentially reverting to startup survival tactics despite being one of the most hyped tech companies on the planet.

Gemini's Numbers Tell the Story

The panic stems from Google's Gemini 3, which launched on November 18 and immediately started devouring market share. The numbers are brutal for OpenAI: Google's monthly active users for Gemini exploded from 450 million in July to over 650 million by October 2025. That's a 200 million user gain in just three months.

But it gets worse. Users aren't just signing up for Gemini—they're actually spending more time per session there than in ChatGPT. OpenAI is facing a genuine retention crisis, the kind that can kill even the most promising tech companies.

Industry reports confirm that Gemini's "Deep Think" reasoning capability is now outperforming GPT-5, while Google's lightweight "Nano Banana" media model went viral in August, accelerating the user migration. When your competitor is beating you on both performance and virality, you've got serious problems.

The Competition Keeps Coming

Meanwhile, French startup Mistral decided this was the perfect moment to pile on, launching Mistral 3 on Wednesday. The release includes a versatile suite of 10 open-weight models designed to run on everything from smartphones to cloud infrastructure, challenging both OpenAI and Google simultaneously.

Cramer Called It

CNBC's Jim Cramer is probably enjoying an "I told you so" moment right about now. On Tuesday, he posted on X that it was "only a matter of time" before OpenAI admitted it was falling behind, predicting a "rush of tens of millions of users" straight to Gemini 3.

His forecast highlighted how Google's custom chip advantage with TPUs would eventually overwhelm OpenAI's first-mover advantage. Turns out he was right. As Altman hits the brakes on profit to salvage performance, we're witnessing a textbook "innovator's dilemma" playing out in reverse—the incumbent strikes back.

Google Stock Reflects the Comeback

GOOG closed 0.29% higher at $316.02 on Tuesday and added another 0.23% in after-hours trading. The stock was up 0.27% in premarket on Wednesday and has advanced 65.78% year-to-date and 82.65% over the past year.

The stock maintains a stronger price trend over the short, medium, and long terms, with a solid quality ranking according to market data. Investors are clearly betting that Google's AI resurgence is the real deal, and OpenAI's crisis only confirms that thesis.

Back to News

OpenAI Hits the Panic Button as Google's Gemini 3 Steals Market Share

MarketDash Editorial Team
5 days ago
Sam Altman just declared Code Red at OpenAI, freezing revenue plans to fix ChatGPT's problems. Google's Gemini 3 is eating their lunch, and the AI wars just flipped completely upside down.

Remember when OpenAI was the scrappy upstart that sent Google into a full-blown existential crisis? Well, the tables have turned in spectacular fashion. Sam Altman just hit the emergency brake at OpenAI, declaring "Code Red" and freezing the company's entire monetization roadmap. The reason? Google's Gemini 3 is absolutely crushing it, and ChatGPT is bleeding users.

The Hunter Becomes the Hunted

The timing here is almost poetic. It's been exactly three years since Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) (GOOGL) issued its own "Code Red" after ChatGPT's 2022 launch threatened to obliterate Google's search dominance. Now OpenAI finds itself in the same desperate position, scrambling to salvage what's left of its market position.

According to leaked internal memos, OpenAI is immediately pausing some of its most anticipated revenue drivers. We're talking search ads integration, "agentic" shopping features, and the Pulse personal assistant. All those shiny new products? Shelved. Instead, every available resource is being redirected toward fixing latency issues and reasoning deficits in ChatGPT.

This isn't just a minor course correction. This is a company in full panic mode, essentially reverting to startup survival tactics despite being one of the most hyped tech companies on the planet.

Gemini's Numbers Tell the Story

The panic stems from Google's Gemini 3, which launched on November 18 and immediately started devouring market share. The numbers are brutal for OpenAI: Google's monthly active users for Gemini exploded from 450 million in July to over 650 million by October 2025. That's a 200 million user gain in just three months.

But it gets worse. Users aren't just signing up for Gemini—they're actually spending more time per session there than in ChatGPT. OpenAI is facing a genuine retention crisis, the kind that can kill even the most promising tech companies.

Industry reports confirm that Gemini's "Deep Think" reasoning capability is now outperforming GPT-5, while Google's lightweight "Nano Banana" media model went viral in August, accelerating the user migration. When your competitor is beating you on both performance and virality, you've got serious problems.

The Competition Keeps Coming

Meanwhile, French startup Mistral decided this was the perfect moment to pile on, launching Mistral 3 on Wednesday. The release includes a versatile suite of 10 open-weight models designed to run on everything from smartphones to cloud infrastructure, challenging both OpenAI and Google simultaneously.

Cramer Called It

CNBC's Jim Cramer is probably enjoying an "I told you so" moment right about now. On Tuesday, he posted on X that it was "only a matter of time" before OpenAI admitted it was falling behind, predicting a "rush of tens of millions of users" straight to Gemini 3.

His forecast highlighted how Google's custom chip advantage with TPUs would eventually overwhelm OpenAI's first-mover advantage. Turns out he was right. As Altman hits the brakes on profit to salvage performance, we're witnessing a textbook "innovator's dilemma" playing out in reverse—the incumbent strikes back.

Google Stock Reflects the Comeback

GOOG closed 0.29% higher at $316.02 on Tuesday and added another 0.23% in after-hours trading. The stock was up 0.27% in premarket on Wednesday and has advanced 65.78% year-to-date and 82.65% over the past year.

The stock maintains a stronger price trend over the short, medium, and long terms, with a solid quality ranking according to market data. Investors are clearly betting that Google's AI resurgence is the real deal, and OpenAI's crisis only confirms that thesis.