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Intel's 20% Rally Explained: The Apple Deal That Could Change Everything

MarketDash Editorial Team
5 days ago
Intel shares have rocketed more than 20% in just five trading sessions, fueled by reports that Apple might return as a client after their 2020 split. Here's why this potential partnership matters so much.

Intel Corp (INTC) shares took a breather Wednesday morning after an absolutely blistering rally that added more than 20% in just five trading sessions. The stock was trading roughly flat around $43, hovering near its 52-week high of $43.68. That's part of a bigger story too, with Intel up more than 90% over the past year.

So what's driving this sudden surge? The answer involves one of tech's most dramatic breakups and a potential reconciliation that could reshape American semiconductor manufacturing.

The Apple Connection

The momentum centers on reports that Intel might win back its most famous ex-client: Apple Inc. (AAPL). Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo recently revealed that Apple has signed a non-disclosure agreement to evaluate Intel's advanced "18A" manufacturing process. The rumor mill suggests Apple could outsource production of entry-level M-series chips to Intel foundries as early as 2027.

Now, let's be clear about the scale here. The projected volume of 15-20 million units is actually pretty modest compared to Apple's total chip output. But the strategic implications? Those are absolutely monumental.

A partnership would validate the expensive foundry pivot that former CEO Pat Gelsinger championed before his departure. It would also serve as a major win for the "Made in America" semiconductor push backed by the CHIPS Act. For investors watching Intel struggle through years of manufacturing missteps and lost market share, this represents a potential inflection point.

If finalized, the deal would mark a stunning reversal of the 2020 split when Apple ditched Intel processors for its own custom silicon. It could supercharge Intel's reputation as a viable domestic alternative to TSMC and help Apple reduce its dependence on overseas supply chains. That's the kind of narrative shift that gets investors excited.

Government Backing

This potential partnership also validates some aggressive intervention we saw this summer. The Trump administration took an approximate 10% equity stake in Intel by converting unpaid CHIPS Act grants into an $8.9 billion direct investment. They effectively bought shares at $20.47, which means that position is looking pretty good right now with the stock trading above $43.

Exceptional Momentum

The technical picture backs up the enthusiasm. Market data shows Intel currently sports a Momentum score of 94.85, indicating exceptional buying strength relative to the broader market. That's the kind of number you see when institutional money is piling in alongside retail traders.

What Happens Next

Intel shares were down 0.15% at $43.41 at the time of publication Wednesday, trading near that 52-week high of $43.68. After a 20% sprint in five days, a pause makes sense. The question now is whether this rally has legs or if it's gotten ahead of itself on speculation about a deal that might not materialize until 2027, if at all.

For now, the market seems willing to bet that Intel's long, painful manufacturing rebuild might actually pay off.

Back to News

Intel's 20% Rally Explained: The Apple Deal That Could Change Everything

MarketDash Editorial Team
5 days ago
Intel shares have rocketed more than 20% in just five trading sessions, fueled by reports that Apple might return as a client after their 2020 split. Here's why this potential partnership matters so much.

Intel Corp (INTC) shares took a breather Wednesday morning after an absolutely blistering rally that added more than 20% in just five trading sessions. The stock was trading roughly flat around $43, hovering near its 52-week high of $43.68. That's part of a bigger story too, with Intel up more than 90% over the past year.

So what's driving this sudden surge? The answer involves one of tech's most dramatic breakups and a potential reconciliation that could reshape American semiconductor manufacturing.

The Apple Connection

The momentum centers on reports that Intel might win back its most famous ex-client: Apple Inc. (AAPL). Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo recently revealed that Apple has signed a non-disclosure agreement to evaluate Intel's advanced "18A" manufacturing process. The rumor mill suggests Apple could outsource production of entry-level M-series chips to Intel foundries as early as 2027.

Now, let's be clear about the scale here. The projected volume of 15-20 million units is actually pretty modest compared to Apple's total chip output. But the strategic implications? Those are absolutely monumental.

A partnership would validate the expensive foundry pivot that former CEO Pat Gelsinger championed before his departure. It would also serve as a major win for the "Made in America" semiconductor push backed by the CHIPS Act. For investors watching Intel struggle through years of manufacturing missteps and lost market share, this represents a potential inflection point.

If finalized, the deal would mark a stunning reversal of the 2020 split when Apple ditched Intel processors for its own custom silicon. It could supercharge Intel's reputation as a viable domestic alternative to TSMC and help Apple reduce its dependence on overseas supply chains. That's the kind of narrative shift that gets investors excited.

Government Backing

This potential partnership also validates some aggressive intervention we saw this summer. The Trump administration took an approximate 10% equity stake in Intel by converting unpaid CHIPS Act grants into an $8.9 billion direct investment. They effectively bought shares at $20.47, which means that position is looking pretty good right now with the stock trading above $43.

Exceptional Momentum

The technical picture backs up the enthusiasm. Market data shows Intel currently sports a Momentum score of 94.85, indicating exceptional buying strength relative to the broader market. That's the kind of number you see when institutional money is piling in alongside retail traders.

What Happens Next

Intel shares were down 0.15% at $43.41 at the time of publication Wednesday, trading near that 52-week high of $43.68. After a 20% sprint in five days, a pause makes sense. The question now is whether this rally has legs or if it's gotten ahead of itself on speculation about a deal that might not materialize until 2027, if at all.

For now, the market seems willing to bet that Intel's long, painful manufacturing rebuild might actually pay off.