Here's an ironic twist in the ongoing tech trade battle: just as President Trump opens the door for Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) to ship its advanced H200 chips to China, Beijing appears ready to slam it shut from the other side.
Prove You Need It First
According to a Financial Times report on Tuesday, Chinese regulators are preparing to limit access to Nvidia's H200 chips, the company's second-best generation of AI processors. The proposed restrictions would require potential buyers to obtain government approval before making purchases.
The catch? These buyers would need to justify why domestic chip suppliers can't meet their needs. Think of it as Beijing saying, "Sure, you can buy foreign chips, but first explain why our homegrown options aren't good enough." No final decision has been made yet, according to sources familiar with the discussions.
This approach fits into China's broader strategy to nurture domestic chipmakers and reduce dependence on foreign technology. The government has sweetened the deal with energy subsidies for data centers using Chinese chips and ramped up customs inspections on semiconductor imports.
The Whiplash Timeline
The timing makes this particularly fascinating. On Monday, Trump announced approval for H200 chip exports, sending shares of U.S. chipmakers higher. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) closed up 1.44% at $221.11. Trump even noted that "President Xi responded positively!"
But then reality got messy. Two Chinese nationals were arrested for allegedly smuggling Nvidia chips into China, violating U.S. export controls. And now comes word that Beijing plans to restrict access anyway.
China's Long Game
Recent months have seen Chinese regulators intensify their push for chip independence. They've reportedly banned Nvidia and other imported processors from new state-funded data center projects. Some projects still under construction have been told to replace foreign chips entirely.
Customs authorities have also tightened semiconductor import checks, creating bottlenecks for large GPU shipments. Meanwhile, China is accelerating domestic chip production with an ambitious goal: triple AI chip output by 2026 and build a completely self-sufficient technology stack.
So Trump's export approval might turn out to be a solution to a problem that China is trying very hard not to have anymore.