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Bitcoin Surges Past $94,000 As Fed Rate Cut Looms, Analyst Says Bull Run Gaining Steam

MarketDash Editorial Team
4 hours ago
Bitcoin broke above $94,000 for the first time in three weeks as traders positioned ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, with markets pricing in an 88% chance of a rate cut that could fuel further crypto gains.

Cryptocurrency markets came roaring back on Tuesday, with Bitcoin (BTC) breaking above $94,000 as Wall Street positioned for what's widely expected to be a 25-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

The move higher was broad-based across major cryptocurrencies, though Bitcoin gave up some of its gains as the trading session wore on. Still, the rally marked a significant psychological breakthrough for crypto bulls who've been waiting for this moment since mid-November.

The Numbers Behind The Rally

By 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Bitcoin was trading at $92,223.30, up 2.06% for the day. Ethereum (ETH) posted even stronger gains, jumping 6.35% to $3,310.83 after hitting an intraday high of $3,395—a level not seen in nearly a month. XRP added 1.05% to reach $2.09, while Solana (SOL) climbed 3.26% to $137.39. Dogecoin (DOGE) rounded out the majors with a 3.52% gain to $0.1466.

Trading volume told the real story of conviction behind these moves. Bitcoin's volume spiked 23% over the previous 24 hours, while Ethereum saw an even more dramatic 30% surge in trading activity. That's the kind of volume that suggests real buying pressure, not just technical bouncing.

Cryptocurrency-linked stocks caught the same updraft. Strategy Inc. (MSTR) closed up 2.89% during the regular session, while Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc. (BMNR) jumped 9.40%.

Short Squeeze Dynamics

If you were betting against crypto on Tuesday, it was not your day. According to Coinglass data, total cryptocurrency liquidations hit $436 million over the last 24 hours. The pain was heavily concentrated among the bears—$308 million of those liquidations came from short positions alone.

And it could get worse for the shorts. Roughly $436 million in Bitcoin short positions are at risk of liquidation if the leading cryptocurrency manages to reclaim the $96,000 level. That's the kind of setup that can create a feedback loop where rising prices force more shorts to cover, which pushes prices higher still.

The sentiment on Binance showed traders leaning bullish. About 60% of traders with open Bitcoin positions were betting on higher prices, according to the exchange's Long/Short Ratio. Meanwhile, the broader Crypto Fear & Greed Index improved from "Extreme Fear" to just plain old "Fear"—which in crypto terms counts as progress.

The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stood at $3.15 trillion, up 2.29% over the last 24 hours.

What's Driving The Move?

The immediate catalyst is straightforward: traders are positioning ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting with strong expectations that policymakers will cut rates by 25 basis points. According to the CME Fed Watch tool, markets are pricing in roughly an 88% probability of that outcome.

Lower interest rates tend to be good for risk assets like cryptocurrencies because they make holding cash less attractive and encourage investors to seek returns elsewhere. It's basic financial physics—money flows toward opportunity when the cost of money goes down.

That said, not everyone is on board with the consensus. Italian investment bank UniCredit has broken from the pack, forecasting that policymakers will actually keep rates unchanged. It's a lonely position, but stranger things have happened.

Traditional markets were more subdued. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 179.03 points, or 0.38%, to finish at 47,560.29. The S&P 500 was essentially flat, falling just 0.09% to end at 6,840.51. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite managed a modest 0.13% gain to settle at 23,576.49.

Technical Levels And What Analysts Are Watching

Blockchain analytics firm Santiment observed that Bitcoin's rebound got retail traders excited, with social media lighting up with calls for "higher" and "above" price targets. But the firm offered a word of caution, noting that "markets move opposite to the small traders' behavior." When retail tries to chase prices higher, according to Santiment, corrections often follow.

Widely followed cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe saw Tuesday's action as a bullish development. He characterized it as a "great move" by Bitcoin that should increase risk-on appetite across markets.

"It's still following the bullish scenario, in which the breakout above $92,000 might be a signal," van de Poppe noted.

Looking ahead to the Fed meeting, he identified a key support level that could determine Bitcoin's next major move. "Going into FOMC night tomorrow, I'd love to see $91,500-$92,000 held as support," van de Poppe stated. "If that does, I don't see a reason why we're not at least going to be testing the $100,000 areas from here."

That $100,000 level has taken on almost mythical importance in crypto circles—a round number that represents both a psychological barrier and a validation of Bitcoin's role as a major asset class.

Altcoin Action

While the major cryptocurrencies captured most of the attention, some smaller coins posted eye-popping gains. Among cryptocurrencies with market capitalizations above $100 million, pippin (PIPPIN) led the charge with a 69.90% surge to $0.3042. Folks Finance (FOLKS) jumped 43.29% to $15.04, while River (RIVER) added 24.63% to reach $5.28.

These kinds of moves in smaller coins often signal that speculative appetite is returning to the crypto market more broadly—though they also come with substantially higher risk.

The big question now is whether Wednesday's Fed decision lives up to expectations and whether Bitcoin can hold its recent gains. With so much money positioned for a rate cut and critical technical levels in play, the next 24 hours could set the tone for crypto markets heading into year-end.

Back to News

Bitcoin Surges Past $94,000 As Fed Rate Cut Looms, Analyst Says Bull Run Gaining Steam

MarketDash Editorial Team
4 hours ago
Bitcoin broke above $94,000 for the first time in three weeks as traders positioned ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting, with markets pricing in an 88% chance of a rate cut that could fuel further crypto gains.

Cryptocurrency markets came roaring back on Tuesday, with Bitcoin (BTC) breaking above $94,000 as Wall Street positioned for what's widely expected to be a 25-basis-point rate cut from the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.

The move higher was broad-based across major cryptocurrencies, though Bitcoin gave up some of its gains as the trading session wore on. Still, the rally marked a significant psychological breakthrough for crypto bulls who've been waiting for this moment since mid-November.

The Numbers Behind The Rally

By 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Bitcoin was trading at $92,223.30, up 2.06% for the day. Ethereum (ETH) posted even stronger gains, jumping 6.35% to $3,310.83 after hitting an intraday high of $3,395—a level not seen in nearly a month. XRP added 1.05% to reach $2.09, while Solana (SOL) climbed 3.26% to $137.39. Dogecoin (DOGE) rounded out the majors with a 3.52% gain to $0.1466.

Trading volume told the real story of conviction behind these moves. Bitcoin's volume spiked 23% over the previous 24 hours, while Ethereum saw an even more dramatic 30% surge in trading activity. That's the kind of volume that suggests real buying pressure, not just technical bouncing.

Cryptocurrency-linked stocks caught the same updraft. Strategy Inc. (MSTR) closed up 2.89% during the regular session, while Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc. (BMNR) jumped 9.40%.

Short Squeeze Dynamics

If you were betting against crypto on Tuesday, it was not your day. According to Coinglass data, total cryptocurrency liquidations hit $436 million over the last 24 hours. The pain was heavily concentrated among the bears—$308 million of those liquidations came from short positions alone.

And it could get worse for the shorts. Roughly $436 million in Bitcoin short positions are at risk of liquidation if the leading cryptocurrency manages to reclaim the $96,000 level. That's the kind of setup that can create a feedback loop where rising prices force more shorts to cover, which pushes prices higher still.

The sentiment on Binance showed traders leaning bullish. About 60% of traders with open Bitcoin positions were betting on higher prices, according to the exchange's Long/Short Ratio. Meanwhile, the broader Crypto Fear & Greed Index improved from "Extreme Fear" to just plain old "Fear"—which in crypto terms counts as progress.

The global cryptocurrency market capitalization stood at $3.15 trillion, up 2.29% over the last 24 hours.

What's Driving The Move?

The immediate catalyst is straightforward: traders are positioning ahead of Wednesday's Federal Reserve meeting with strong expectations that policymakers will cut rates by 25 basis points. According to the CME Fed Watch tool, markets are pricing in roughly an 88% probability of that outcome.

Lower interest rates tend to be good for risk assets like cryptocurrencies because they make holding cash less attractive and encourage investors to seek returns elsewhere. It's basic financial physics—money flows toward opportunity when the cost of money goes down.

That said, not everyone is on board with the consensus. Italian investment bank UniCredit has broken from the pack, forecasting that policymakers will actually keep rates unchanged. It's a lonely position, but stranger things have happened.

Traditional markets were more subdued. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 179.03 points, or 0.38%, to finish at 47,560.29. The S&P 500 was essentially flat, falling just 0.09% to end at 6,840.51. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite managed a modest 0.13% gain to settle at 23,576.49.

Technical Levels And What Analysts Are Watching

Blockchain analytics firm Santiment observed that Bitcoin's rebound got retail traders excited, with social media lighting up with calls for "higher" and "above" price targets. But the firm offered a word of caution, noting that "markets move opposite to the small traders' behavior." When retail tries to chase prices higher, according to Santiment, corrections often follow.

Widely followed cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe saw Tuesday's action as a bullish development. He characterized it as a "great move" by Bitcoin that should increase risk-on appetite across markets.

"It's still following the bullish scenario, in which the breakout above $92,000 might be a signal," van de Poppe noted.

Looking ahead to the Fed meeting, he identified a key support level that could determine Bitcoin's next major move. "Going into FOMC night tomorrow, I'd love to see $91,500-$92,000 held as support," van de Poppe stated. "If that does, I don't see a reason why we're not at least going to be testing the $100,000 areas from here."

That $100,000 level has taken on almost mythical importance in crypto circles—a round number that represents both a psychological barrier and a validation of Bitcoin's role as a major asset class.

Altcoin Action

While the major cryptocurrencies captured most of the attention, some smaller coins posted eye-popping gains. Among cryptocurrencies with market capitalizations above $100 million, pippin (PIPPIN) led the charge with a 69.90% surge to $0.3042. Folks Finance (FOLKS) jumped 43.29% to $15.04, while River (RIVER) added 24.63% to reach $5.28.

These kinds of moves in smaller coins often signal that speculative appetite is returning to the crypto market more broadly—though they also come with substantially higher risk.

The big question now is whether Wednesday's Fed decision lives up to expectations and whether Bitcoin can hold its recent gains. With so much money positioned for a rate cut and critical technical levels in play, the next 24 hours could set the tone for crypto markets heading into year-end.