Vertical Aerospace Ltd (EVTL) thinks it has figured out what aviation needs next: hybrid electric aircraft that can do what helicopters do, only better. Longer range, heavier cargo, quieter engines, and the ability to fly missions that battery-powered eVTOLs simply can't handle.
In an exclusive email interview, CEO Stuart Simpson laid out the timeline. He sees 2026 as the year things get real, when "for the first time, our hybrid electric aircraft" will fly after the company retrofits its final prototype with a gas turbine. That gives Vertical what Simpson describes as "two assets — two capabilities in the skies in 2026," pushing the company beyond urban air mobility into defense, logistics, medical transport, and other serious operational territory.
Why Hybrids Change Everything
The economics of hybrid flight are compelling. You get longer routes, heavier payloads, and the option to fly uncrewed missions. That's the space helicopters own today, and Simpson believes it's ready for disruption. "Demand for long-range, high-payload, quiet aircraft is only growing," he says, and legacy helicopters are vulnerable.
Vertical isn't thinking small here. By 2035, the company projects hybrid aircraft will deliver 16% of more than $10 billion in revenues. Battery electric flight would account for 59%, with battery replacements making up the remaining 25%. This isn't about fancy rooftop taxi rides. It's about scaling across multiple aviation segments with real operational utility.
Execution Is Everything Now
Of course, there's the small matter of actually pulling this off. Certification alone will cost another $700 million through 2028, and the company doesn't expect to turn a profit until 2029 at the earliest. Markets have seen plenty of aviation prototypes before. What they want now is delivery, not promises.
If Vertical can launch hybrid flight on schedule, it could genuinely reshape the competitive landscape in advanced aviation. If it stumbles, it joins the long list of companies that talked big about disrupting flight but couldn't make the numbers work.
The next 18 months will tell the story. Either hybrid flight becomes the helicopter killer Simpson envisions, or it becomes another cautionary tale about ambition outpacing execution.