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Oracle Plans $15 Billion CapEx Surge to Chase $523 Billion AI Backlog

MarketDash Editorial Team
1 day ago
Oracle is ramping up capital spending by $15 billion to handle a massive $523 billion contract backlog driven by AI demand. The aggressive investment sent shares tumbling despite bullish long-term projections and support from analysts who see the spending as necessary.

Oracle Corp. (ORCL) just told Wall Street it's planning to spend an extra $15 billion next year to handle what might be the most impressive backlog problem in corporate America. The database giant is sitting on $523 billion worth of signed contracts—mostly AI infrastructure deals—and now faces the expensive task of actually delivering on them.

When Your Backlog Becomes Your Biggest Challenge

Oracle's second quarter results told two different stories. The company crushed earnings expectations with adjusted EPS jumping 54% to $2.26, but revenue came in light at $16.06 billion. The real headline, though, was that $523 billion in remaining performance obligations—a staggering 433% increase from the prior year.

These aren't hypothetical deals. Oracle has locked in contracts with AI heavyweights like Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) and Meta Platforms Inc. (META), but converting signed paperwork into actual revenue means building data centers, fast. That's where the $15 billion capital expenditure increase for fiscal 2026 comes in.

Principal Financial Officer Doug Caring made it clear the company won't chase growth at any cost. "We will pursue further business expansion only when it meets our profitability requirements," he said. The message: Oracle is willing to spend big, but only on projects that make financial sense.

Betting Billions on AI Infrastructure

The spending spree comes with upside projections. Management boosted its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook by $4 billion, banking on faster conversion of that massive backlog. Cloud infrastructure revenue is already up 66%, and Oracle plans to open 64 new cloud regions to keep pace with demand.

It's a classic build-it-and-they-will-pay scenario. Oracle is wagering that today's infrastructure investments will cement its position as a critical player in the AI economy. But the market doesn't always reward patience, and investors got a reminder of that reality in after-hours trading.

Wall Street Gets Nervous About Cash Flow

Free cash flow hit negative $10 billion for the quarter, and that number made investors queasy. Shares dropped 11.53% in after-hours trading after a modest 0.67% gain during regular hours on Wednesday. Year-to-date, the stock remains up 33.83%, with a 25.65% gain over the past six months.

Daniel Newman, CEO of the Futurum Group, called the after-hours selloff an "overreaction." He acknowledged the stock is "tricky short term" but defended Oracle's strategy as necessary for long-term competitiveness.

"Oracle has to do what it's doing even if it means short term volatility," Newman said. He compared the capital-intensive pivot to foundational shifts other big tech companies have made, arguing that Oracle is positioning itself as essential AI infrastructure rather than just another cloud provider.

The Short-Term Pain Trade

Oracle maintains a weaker price trend over the short and medium terms but shows strength in the long-term outlook, with a poor value ranking in current market conditions. The stock's performance reflects the tension between immediate spending concerns and the potential payoff from AI infrastructure dominance.

The real question isn't whether Oracle can build out the infrastructure—it's whether investors will stick around long enough to see the revenue materialize. With 64 new cloud regions planned and $523 billion in contracts waiting to convert, Oracle is betting heavily that the answer is yes. The next few quarters will show whether Wall Street has the stomach for this kind of long game.

Back to News

Oracle Plans $15 Billion CapEx Surge to Chase $523 Billion AI Backlog

MarketDash Editorial Team
1 day ago
Oracle is ramping up capital spending by $15 billion to handle a massive $523 billion contract backlog driven by AI demand. The aggressive investment sent shares tumbling despite bullish long-term projections and support from analysts who see the spending as necessary.

Oracle Corp. (ORCL) just told Wall Street it's planning to spend an extra $15 billion next year to handle what might be the most impressive backlog problem in corporate America. The database giant is sitting on $523 billion worth of signed contracts—mostly AI infrastructure deals—and now faces the expensive task of actually delivering on them.

When Your Backlog Becomes Your Biggest Challenge

Oracle's second quarter results told two different stories. The company crushed earnings expectations with adjusted EPS jumping 54% to $2.26, but revenue came in light at $16.06 billion. The real headline, though, was that $523 billion in remaining performance obligations—a staggering 433% increase from the prior year.

These aren't hypothetical deals. Oracle has locked in contracts with AI heavyweights like Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) and Meta Platforms Inc. (META), but converting signed paperwork into actual revenue means building data centers, fast. That's where the $15 billion capital expenditure increase for fiscal 2026 comes in.

Principal Financial Officer Doug Caring made it clear the company won't chase growth at any cost. "We will pursue further business expansion only when it meets our profitability requirements," he said. The message: Oracle is willing to spend big, but only on projects that make financial sense.

Betting Billions on AI Infrastructure

The spending spree comes with upside projections. Management boosted its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook by $4 billion, banking on faster conversion of that massive backlog. Cloud infrastructure revenue is already up 66%, and Oracle plans to open 64 new cloud regions to keep pace with demand.

It's a classic build-it-and-they-will-pay scenario. Oracle is wagering that today's infrastructure investments will cement its position as a critical player in the AI economy. But the market doesn't always reward patience, and investors got a reminder of that reality in after-hours trading.

Wall Street Gets Nervous About Cash Flow

Free cash flow hit negative $10 billion for the quarter, and that number made investors queasy. Shares dropped 11.53% in after-hours trading after a modest 0.67% gain during regular hours on Wednesday. Year-to-date, the stock remains up 33.83%, with a 25.65% gain over the past six months.

Daniel Newman, CEO of the Futurum Group, called the after-hours selloff an "overreaction." He acknowledged the stock is "tricky short term" but defended Oracle's strategy as necessary for long-term competitiveness.

"Oracle has to do what it's doing even if it means short term volatility," Newman said. He compared the capital-intensive pivot to foundational shifts other big tech companies have made, arguing that Oracle is positioning itself as essential AI infrastructure rather than just another cloud provider.

The Short-Term Pain Trade

Oracle maintains a weaker price trend over the short and medium terms but shows strength in the long-term outlook, with a poor value ranking in current market conditions. The stock's performance reflects the tension between immediate spending concerns and the potential payoff from AI infrastructure dominance.

The real question isn't whether Oracle can build out the infrastructure—it's whether investors will stick around long enough to see the revenue materialize. With 64 new cloud regions planned and $523 billion in contracts waiting to convert, Oracle is betting heavily that the answer is yes. The next few quarters will show whether Wall Street has the stomach for this kind of long game.