Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) just made a move that could reshape how traders access Solana (SOL) tokens—and the charts suggest SOL might be ready to reward early adopters with a solid bounce.

At Solana's Breakpoint 2025 conference in Abu Dhabi, Coinbase unveiled a system that lets users buy and sell any asset issued on Solana directly through decentralized exchange rails, all without requiring an official exchange listing. Think of it as bringing the wild west of DeFi into Coinbase's familiar, polished interface—except everything executes entirely on-chain.

Opening the Floodgates to Millions of Assets

Andrew Allen, who leads Coinbase's Solana initiatives, explained that users will gain immediate access to "millions" of on-chain assets. For issuers with sufficient liquidity, this means reaching Coinbase's global user base without jumping through the hoops of a centralized listing process.

Coinbase engineer Sabs Sachdeva emphasized that while the interface looks similar to existing trading screens, "all functions operate on-chain." It's a clever approach—maintaining the user experience people already know while executing trades in a fundamentally different way.

The upgrade includes filters specifically for Solana-issued assets and new tools for viewing on-chain positions and activity. Solana tokens will now appear alongside Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) inside the app. Early access is expected to roll out next week.

The Technical Case for a 10% Rally

Here's where things get interesting for traders. SOL remains locked in a firm downtrend, but the chart is flashing the first hints of a potential short-term reversal.

The SAR indicator flipped below price for the first time in weeks—a signal that momentum might be shifting. Fibonacci levels show a clear upside window toward $146–$150, representing roughly 10% from current levels around $133.

The token continues to test the 0.236 retracement near $133, and buyers have defended this range repeatedly. It's the final support before the October breakdown area, making it a critical line in the sand. As long as SOL stays above $129–$133, the rebound structure remains intact.

Key technical levels to watch include the 0.382 retracement around $140.4, the breakout zone between $146 and $147, and the 0.618 band at $154–$156. A move above $146 would open a clean path toward resistance at $152, where multiple exponential moving averages converge.

Now, all major EMAs still sit above price and continue to slope lower, which isn't exactly bullish on its face. But short squeezes frequently begin from this type of compression structure—when everyone's bearish and positioned accordingly, it doesn't take much buying pressure to trigger a sharp move higher.

The Outflow Puzzle

Coinglass data showed $30.91 million in net outflows on Thursday, part of a month-long stretch of withdrawals from exchanges. Persistent outflows typically add selling pressure, but here's the catch: the pace has slowed while price has held steady.

That divergence matters. When outflows decelerate and price stabilizes, it often suggests that selling exhaustion is setting in. Combined with Coinbase's new feature potentially driving fresh interest in Solana-based assets, the timing could be significant.

The condition for that 10% rebound? Simple but non-negotiable—SOL needs to hold above that $129–$133 support zone. Break below it, and the bullish thesis falls apart. Hold it, and traders might finally get the relief rally they've been waiting for.