Marketdash
Back to News

Electronic Arts Maps Out Path to $11 Billion in Annual Bookings by 2031

MarketDash Editorial Team
8 hours ago
Electronic Arts just unveiled ambitious long-term targets, projecting net bookings will climb from $7.85 billion in fiscal 2026 to $11.25 billion by 2031, while adjusted EBITDA nearly doubles over the same period.

Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) is thinking big. On Monday, the gaming giant rolled out long-term financial guidance spanning fiscal 2026 through 2031 (years ending March 31), and the numbers suggest management believes the best is yet to come.

The Big Picture

Electronic Arts expects net bookings to march steadily upward from $7.85 billion in fiscal 2026 to $11.25 billion by fiscal 2031. That's not explosive growth, but it's the kind of sustained momentum that Wall Street tends to appreciate. The company laid out annual targets along the way: $8.25 billion in 2027, $10.0 billion in 2028, $10.4 billion in 2029, and $10.8 billion in 2030.

But here's where things get interesting. While bookings are climbing at a steady clip, profitability is accelerating even faster. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to grow from $2.76 billion in 2026 to $4.50 billion in 2031. That's operating leverage in action, the kind of margin expansion that happens when a company gets better at turning revenue into profit.

Unlevered free cash flow tells a similar story, expected to rise from $1.50 billion to $2.88 billion over the forecast period. That's real cash the company can use for dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

One wrinkle: changes in net working capital are expected to be a bit choppy in the near term. EA anticipates a modest outflow of $33 million in 2027 and a larger $142 million outflow in 2028, before things normalize to roughly $35 million in the years after that. Not a dealbreaker, but worth noting for anyone building detailed financial models.

Recent Developments

The long-term guidance comes against the backdrop of some notable recent events. Back in October, Electronic Arts reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 net bookings of $1.818 billion, down 13% year-over-year. The decline wasn't exactly a surprise—the prior year included the blockbuster launch of College Football 25, a tough act to follow.

More significantly, a consortium led by Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, along with Silver Lake and Affinity Partners, announced a deal in September to acquire Electronic Arts (EA) in a $55 billion all-cash transaction. That's the largest all-cash take-private deal in the gaming sector, and it adds an interesting dimension to these long-term projections. The buyers are essentially betting that EA can deliver on these ambitious targets.

EA shares closed Monday's session up 0.23% at $204.20, showing modest investor confidence in the company's trajectory.

Back to News

Electronic Arts Maps Out Path to $11 Billion in Annual Bookings by 2031

MarketDash Editorial Team
8 hours ago
Electronic Arts just unveiled ambitious long-term targets, projecting net bookings will climb from $7.85 billion in fiscal 2026 to $11.25 billion by 2031, while adjusted EBITDA nearly doubles over the same period.

Electronic Arts Inc. (EA) is thinking big. On Monday, the gaming giant rolled out long-term financial guidance spanning fiscal 2026 through 2031 (years ending March 31), and the numbers suggest management believes the best is yet to come.

The Big Picture

Electronic Arts expects net bookings to march steadily upward from $7.85 billion in fiscal 2026 to $11.25 billion by fiscal 2031. That's not explosive growth, but it's the kind of sustained momentum that Wall Street tends to appreciate. The company laid out annual targets along the way: $8.25 billion in 2027, $10.0 billion in 2028, $10.4 billion in 2029, and $10.8 billion in 2030.

But here's where things get interesting. While bookings are climbing at a steady clip, profitability is accelerating even faster. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to grow from $2.76 billion in 2026 to $4.50 billion in 2031. That's operating leverage in action, the kind of margin expansion that happens when a company gets better at turning revenue into profit.

Unlevered free cash flow tells a similar story, expected to rise from $1.50 billion to $2.88 billion over the forecast period. That's real cash the company can use for dividends, buybacks, or reinvestment.

One wrinkle: changes in net working capital are expected to be a bit choppy in the near term. EA anticipates a modest outflow of $33 million in 2027 and a larger $142 million outflow in 2028, before things normalize to roughly $35 million in the years after that. Not a dealbreaker, but worth noting for anyone building detailed financial models.

Recent Developments

The long-term guidance comes against the backdrop of some notable recent events. Back in October, Electronic Arts reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 net bookings of $1.818 billion, down 13% year-over-year. The decline wasn't exactly a surprise—the prior year included the blockbuster launch of College Football 25, a tough act to follow.

More significantly, a consortium led by Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund, along with Silver Lake and Affinity Partners, announced a deal in September to acquire Electronic Arts (EA) in a $55 billion all-cash transaction. That's the largest all-cash take-private deal in the gaming sector, and it adds an interesting dimension to these long-term projections. The buyers are essentially betting that EA can deliver on these ambitious targets.

EA shares closed Monday's session up 0.23% at $204.20, showing modest investor confidence in the company's trajectory.