Ethereum (ETH) has a bit of an identity problem. The question everyone keeps asking: is it actually money like Bitcoin, or is it basically just a fancy technology platform whose fundamentals are quietly falling apart?
The Roller Coaster Year
Early 2025 was brutal for Ethereum believers. The token dramatically underperformed Bitcoin (BTC), briefly fell behind XRP (XRP) in fully diluted valuation, and watched competitors like Solana (SOL) eat into its Layer-1 fee share. According to Messari's Crypto 2026 report, confidence hit multi-year lows after ETH/BTC erased all gains from the prior cycle.
Then something interesting happened. From May to August 2025, that pessimism reversed sharply. Ethereum surged nearly 200%, set a new all-time high, and regained strength against Bitcoin. What changed? Leadership changes at the Ethereum Foundation helped, along with a rebound in spot ETH ETF inflows and the emergence of ETH-focused Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs).
The institutional demand became real and sustained. Spot Ethereum ETFs ended the year holding about 5% of total supply, while DATs accumulated roughly 4%. That's meaningful capital flowing in.
The Problem That Won't Go Away
But here's the thing: the core issues haven't actually been solved. Messari's report points out that Ethereum's fee share and base-layer activity remain under pressure. Relative to Bitcoin, ETH is still below prior cycle highs. And plenty of investors treated the rally as their chance to exit rather than a reason to stay invested.
The value proposition now depends on something more abstract: indirect monetary adoption. Essentially, whether market participants decide to treat ETH as a store of value alongside Bitcoin. Right now, Ethereum continues to trade with high correlation and beta to Bitcoin, behaving more like a leveraged BTC proxy than an independent monetary asset.
What Comes Next
Looking ahead, there's a path forward for Ethereum to keep outperforming in a Bitcoin-led bull market. As Digital Asset Treasuries mature and potentially adopt more aggressive capital structures to accumulate and stake ETH, demand could strengthen further.
But the fundamental question remains unanswered. The narrative has stabilized, sure, but Ethereum's monetary status is still unsettled. Until it meaningfully decouples from Bitcoin and establishes its own identity, its valuation will likely continue moving in Bitcoin's shadow. The missing ingredient isn't technical innovation or institutional adoption. It's clarity about what Ethereum actually is.