When a stock gets hammered hard enough, technical indicators start flashing signals that contrarian traders love to see. The real estate sector has a few names right now that fit that description, trading at levels that suggest they might be oversold and potentially due for a bounce.
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, measures momentum by comparing how a stock performs on up days versus down days. It's a scale from 0 to 100, and when a stock dips below 30, it's traditionally considered oversold territory. That doesn't guarantee an immediate rebound, but it does suggest the selling pressure might have gotten excessive. Here's a look at three real estate stocks currently sitting near or below that threshold.
Healthpeak Properties Inc. (DOC)
Healthpeak Properties has had a rough month, with shares falling around 12% and currently trading near its 52-week low of $15.71. The weakness accelerated after Jefferies analyst Jonathan Petersen downgraded the stock from Buy to Hold on December 16, simultaneously slashing the price target from $21 down to $17.
The technical picture reflects that pessimism. With an RSI reading of 26.4, Healthpeak is firmly in oversold territory. Shares closed at $15.78 on Tuesday, down 1.6% for the session. The stock's Edge ratings show a momentum score of just 12.03, though its value score sits at a more respectable 63.42, suggesting the selloff might have created some fundamental value despite the negative momentum.
Fermi Inc. (FRMI)
If you think Healthpeak had a tough month, Fermi Inc. has been absolutely crushed. The stock has plummeted roughly 43% over the past month, now hovering near its 52-week low of $8.02. The catalyst was a December 12 announcement that First Tenant was terminating the AICA agreement, sending investors heading for the exits.
The damage shows up clearly in the RSI, which currently sits at 28.5. Shares fell another 7.1% on Tuesday to close at $8.25, extending the downward spiral. When a stock drops this hard this fast, it raises the question of whether the selling has gone too far or if there's more pain ahead. The RSI suggests short-term selling pressure might be reaching exhaustion, but fundamental concerns remain about the business impact of losing First Tenant.
Kilroy Realty Corp. (KRC)
Kilroy Realty rounds out the trio with the lowest RSI reading of the bunch at 23.9, indicating the most extreme oversold condition. The stock has declined about 10% over the past month and recently touched a 52-week low of $27.07.
The selloff picked up momentum after Keybanc analyst Todd M. Thomas downgraded the stock from Overweight to Sector Weight on December 4, effectively removing his bullish recommendation. Shares fell 1.3% on Tuesday to close at $37.55. Despite the technical oversold signal, the analyst downgrade suggests there may be fundamental headwinds that justified the price decline, making any potential bounce less certain.
What Oversold Really Means
An oversold reading doesn't automatically mean it's time to buy. Stocks can stay oversold for extended periods, especially if fundamental problems persist. What these RSI readings do suggest is that near-term selling pressure has been intense, and the stocks might be approaching levels where bargain hunters start to take notice.
For investors considering these names, the key is understanding why they sold off in the first place. Analyst downgrades and business setbacks aren't trivial concerns. But if you believe the market overreacted to the negative news, these oversold levels could represent entry points with better risk-reward ratios than existed before the selloffs.
The real estate sector has faced its share of challenges, from interest rate concerns to changing office dynamics. These three stocks are showing just how quickly sentiment can shift when company-specific issues compound broader sector worries. Whether they pump this quarter as the oversold conditions suggest they might, or continue grinding lower, depends on whether fundamentals can stabilize and technical buyers step in to support these depressed levels.




