The week between Christmas and New Year's has become an unlikely battleground for streaming dominance. While families settle in for holiday movie marathons, investors are watching Walt Disney Co (DIS) and Netflix Inc (NFLX) to see who wins the engagement wars.
Where the Stocks Stand
Disney shares were trading around $114 on Christmas Eve, up 3% year-to-date. That might not sound thrilling, but it represents a meaningful bounce after a choppy fall season. The company's November quarter showed real progress in streaming, even as overall revenue stayed flat at $22.5 billion thanks to pressure from its legacy TV networks.
The bright spot? Disney's direct-to-consumer unit, which includes Disney+ and Hulu, delivered $352 million in operating income on $6.25 billion in sales. That performance helped management confidently forecast double-digit earnings growth in 2026, giving investors something to look forward to beyond Mickey Mouse nostalgia.
Netflix, meanwhile, traded near $93 Wednesday, up 5% year-to-date but still well below its 52-week high. Recent weakness has been tied to its involvement in the bidding war for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc (WBD) assets, which has introduced uncertainty.
Still, the fundamentals look solid. Netflix's third quarter featured 17% revenue growth to $11.51 billion and record ad sales, even though earnings per share missed estimates. The company has guided to another strong holiday period, pointing to a deep content slate and growing advertising demand as key drivers.
The Holiday Engagement Test
For investors, this holiday lull isn't about box office bragging rights. It's about engagement. How many households are clicking on a Disney classic or Netflix holiday rom-com while wrapping paper is still scattered under the tree? That engagement data becomes crucial as both companies have made streaming their primary growth engine.
On the content front, Disney is leaning hard on familiar favorites. Disney+ serves up staples like "Home Alone," "The Santa Clause," and "The Muppet Christmas Carol." Netflix counters with originals including "Klaus," "Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey," and the "A Christmas Prince" trilogy.
Strong holiday viewing could set an optimistic tone heading into 2026, potentially giving both stocks a touch of seasonal magic that extends well beyond the new year.
What the Data Shows
Market data reveals some interesting divergence between the two stocks. Disney stands out on growth metrics, earning a score of 99.07, with positive price trends across short, medium, and long-term timeframes. Disney shares closed Wednesday up 1.10% at $114.46.
Netflix, by contrast, stands out for quality with a score of 87.49, though its short, medium, and long-term price trends are negative. Netflix shares closed Wednesday up 0.15% at $93.64.
The question for investors is whether holiday engagement can shift those trends. With both companies betting their futures on streaming dominance, the answer could determine which stock delivers the better returns in 2026.




