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Stock Futures Slip on New Year's Eve as Santa Rally Fizzles and Investors Eye Jobs Data

MarketDash Editorial Team
2 hours ago
U.S. stock futures are edging lower on New Year's Eve morning after Tuesday's market decline, suggesting the traditional year-end Santa Claus rally may not materialize this time around. Investors are focused on the upcoming Initial Jobless Claims report while navigating political uncertainty around the Federal Reserve.

So much for going out with a bang. U.S. stock futures are trading in the red on New Year's Eve morning, extending the downward pressure from Tuesday's session. If you were holding out hope for a magical Santa Claus rally to close out the year, well, it looks like Santa might be stuck in traffic.

The mood isn't exactly festive. Beyond the normal end-of-year malaise, markets are dealing with fresh political drama involving President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. On Monday, Trump escalated his ongoing feud with Powell, threatening to file a lawsuit over what he characterized as "gross incompetence." He also floated the idea that he "still might" fire Powell, even though the Fed chair's term expires in just five months anyway. Nothing says holiday spirit quite like threatening the independence of the central bank.

Wednesday brings one key economic release before the market takes Thursday off for New Year's Day: the Initial Jobless Claims report, scheduled for 8:30 AM ET. It's the last piece of labor market data investors will digest before the calendar flips to 2026, and given how sensitive markets have been to employment numbers lately, it could set the tone for early January trading.

On the bond front, the 10-year Treasury yield is sitting at 4.12%, while the two-year yield stands at 3.44%. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in an 82.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its January meeting. Translation: nobody expects the Fed to do much of anything next month.

Futures Paint a Red Picture

Here's how the major index futures were trading in early morning action:

  • Dow Jones futures: down 0.13%
  • S&P 500 futures: down 0.26%
  • Nasdaq 100 futures: down 0.41%
  • Russell 2000 futures: down 0.42%

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes respectively, were both trading lower in premarket action. SPY was down 0.28% at $685.10, while QQQ declined 0.41% to $616.89, according to market data.

Stocks Making Moves

iSpecimen Inc.

Shares of iSpecimen Inc. (ISPC), a biotech company, are up 36.95% in premarket trading after announcing a $5.5 million private placement from accredited investors on Tuesday. The company operates in the biospecimen procurement space, connecting researchers with human tissue samples for medical research. While the stock is getting a nice bounce from the funding news, iSpecimen shares have shown an unfavorable price trend across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.

Anghami Inc.

Anghami Inc. (ANGH), an Arab music streaming service, is surging 56% in premarket action after releasing its six-month earnings on Tuesday. The company reported a stunning 97% year-over-year surge in revenue, which is the kind of growth number that gets traders excited. Despite the impressive revenue jump, Anghami's shares have historically exhibited an unfavorable price trend in the short, medium, and long terms. But hey, 97% revenue growth might just change that narrative.

Urgent.ly Inc.

Roadside assistance company Urgent.ly Inc. (ULY) is having quite the run. The stock surged 52.49% on Tuesday and added another 26.81% in premarket trading on Wednesday. The catalyst? The company adjourned its annual stockholder meeting on Monday without conducting any business and plans to reconvene on January 28, 2026. It's not entirely clear why this would trigger such a massive rally, but the market works in mysterious ways. Like the others on this list, Urgent.ly shares have an unfavorable price trend across multiple timeframes, though recent performance is obviously bucking that trend.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) is up 19.06% premarket after scoring FDA approval for NEREUS, its oral neurokinin-1 receptor antagonist designed to prevent motion-induced vomiting in adults. If you've ever gotten seasick or carsick, you understand the market opportunity here. Unlike some of the other stocks making big moves this morning, Vanda's shares score high on momentum metrics, with a favorable price trend in the short, medium, and long terms.

Core AI Holdings Inc.

AI-based game developer Core AI Holdings Inc. (CHAI) is up 2.78% in premarket trading after dropping 5.75% during Tuesday's regular session. The company announced it had signed a definitive agreement to divest Siyata Mobile and its subsidiaries. The stock has shown an unfavorable price trend across short, medium, and long-term periods, and the modest premarket gain suggests investors have mixed feelings about the divestiture announcement.

How Tuesday Went Down

Tuesday wasn't exactly a banner day for the bulls. Consumer discretionary, materials, and financials took the biggest hits, while energy, real estate, and utilities managed to buck the trend and end the session in positive territory.

Here's how the major indexes closed:

  • Nasdaq Composite: down 0.24% to 23,419.08
  • S&P 500: down 0.14% to 6,896.24
  • Dow Jones: down 0.20% to 48,367.06
  • Russell 2000: down 0.76% to 2,500.59

The small-cap Russell 2000 got hit the hardest, which makes sense given that smaller companies tend to be more sensitive to uncertainty about interest rates and economic growth.

What the Analysts Are Saying

Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, shared some interesting historical perspective as we approach the final trading day of the year. He noted on social media that historically, the sixth year of any president's administration has been the strongest for equities. "Never lower and up nearly 21% on average," he wrote.

Now, there's a wrinkle here. Trump is entering the second year of his second term in office. Does that count as his sixth year? Given the four-year gap between his terms, it's debatable whether this historical pattern even applies. But it's a fun data point to chew on.

In an earlier observation, Detrick pointed out that if the S&P 500 ends lower on Wednesday, it will close the year on a four-day losing streak. According to him, that's "only happened twice in history" — in 2024 and 1966. The good news? Markets rallied the following years, gaining 20% in 1967 and 17% in 2025. So if history repeats itself, maybe 2026 won't be so bad after all.

Economic Data on Deck

Wednesday's economic calendar is refreshingly simple. There's really only one thing to watch:

  • December's Initial Jobless Claims report, releasing at 8:30 AM ET

That's it. After that, markets close for the New Year's Day holiday on Thursday, giving everyone a long weekend to nurse their champagne hangovers and contemplate their investment strategies for 2026.

Commodities, Currencies, and Crypto

Crude oil futures were trading lower by 0.38% in the early New York session, hovering around $57.72 per barrel. Energy prices have been relatively subdued lately as concerns about global demand growth persist.

Gold was down 0.35%, trading around $4,324.59 per ounce. That's well below its recent record high of $4,550.11 per ounce. Even with the market uncertainty, gold hasn't been catching much of a safe-haven bid lately. The U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.15% at the 98.380 level, which might explain some of gold's weakness.

Bitcoin was essentially flat, up just 0.09% at $88,474 per coin. The world's largest cryptocurrency has been trading in a relatively narrow range recently after its post-election surge cooled off.

Global Markets Mixed

Asian markets delivered a mixed performance on Wednesday. India's Nifty 50, the Shanghai index, and Thailand's SETI all finished in positive territory, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng, Japan's Nikkei, and South Korea's KOSPI declined. Australia's ASX 200 and New Zealand's NZX 50 were essentially flat for the day.

European markets were trading mixed in early action as well, with no clear directional trend emerging across the continent.

The global picture suggests investors everywhere are in a bit of a holding pattern as the year winds down. Nobody wants to make any big bets with just one trading day left in 2025, and the real action probably won't pick up again until everyone's back at their desks in the new year.

For now, the focus remains on that jobs report Wednesday morning and whatever drama President Trump might cook up next regarding the Federal Reserve. Happy New Year, everyone. May your 2026 portfolio fare better than your 2025 resolutions.

Back to Stock Market News

Stock Futures Slip on New Year's Eve as Santa Rally Fizzles and Investors Eye Jobs Data

MarketDash Editorial Team
2 hours ago
U.S. stock futures are edging lower on New Year's Eve morning after Tuesday's market decline, suggesting the traditional year-end Santa Claus rally may not materialize this time around. Investors are focused on the upcoming Initial Jobless Claims report while navigating political uncertainty around the Federal Reserve.

So much for going out with a bang. U.S. stock futures are trading in the red on New Year's Eve morning, extending the downward pressure from Tuesday's session. If you were holding out hope for a magical Santa Claus rally to close out the year, well, it looks like Santa might be stuck in traffic.

The mood isn't exactly festive. Beyond the normal end-of-year malaise, markets are dealing with fresh political drama involving President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. On Monday, Trump escalated his ongoing feud with Powell, threatening to file a lawsuit over what he characterized as "gross incompetence." He also floated the idea that he "still might" fire Powell, even though the Fed chair's term expires in just five months anyway. Nothing says holiday spirit quite like threatening the independence of the central bank.

Wednesday brings one key economic release before the market takes Thursday off for New Year's Day: the Initial Jobless Claims report, scheduled for 8:30 AM ET. It's the last piece of labor market data investors will digest before the calendar flips to 2026, and given how sensitive markets have been to employment numbers lately, it could set the tone for early January trading.

On the bond front, the 10-year Treasury yield is sitting at 4.12%, while the two-year yield stands at 3.44%. According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, markets are pricing in an 82.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged at its January meeting. Translation: nobody expects the Fed to do much of anything next month.

Futures Paint a Red Picture

Here's how the major index futures were trading in early morning action:

  • Dow Jones futures: down 0.13%
  • S&P 500 futures: down 0.26%
  • Nasdaq 100 futures: down 0.41%
  • Russell 2000 futures: down 0.42%

The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes respectively, were both trading lower in premarket action. SPY was down 0.28% at $685.10, while QQQ declined 0.41% to $616.89, according to market data.

Stocks Making Moves

iSpecimen Inc.

Shares of iSpecimen Inc. (ISPC), a biotech company, are up 36.95% in premarket trading after announcing a $5.5 million private placement from accredited investors on Tuesday. The company operates in the biospecimen procurement space, connecting researchers with human tissue samples for medical research. While the stock is getting a nice bounce from the funding news, iSpecimen shares have shown an unfavorable price trend across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.

Anghami Inc.

Anghami Inc. (ANGH), an Arab music streaming service, is surging 56% in premarket action after releasing its six-month earnings on Tuesday. The company reported a stunning 97% year-over-year surge in revenue, which is the kind of growth number that gets traders excited. Despite the impressive revenue jump, Anghami's shares have historically exhibited an unfavorable price trend in the short, medium, and long terms. But hey, 97% revenue growth might just change that narrative.

Urgent.ly Inc.

Roadside assistance company Urgent.ly Inc. (ULY) is having quite the run. The stock surged 52.49% on Tuesday and added another 26.81% in premarket trading on Wednesday. The catalyst? The company adjourned its annual stockholder meeting on Monday without conducting any business and plans to reconvene on January 28, 2026. It's not entirely clear why this would trigger such a massive rally, but the market works in mysterious ways. Like the others on this list, Urgent.ly shares have an unfavorable price trend across multiple timeframes, though recent performance is obviously bucking that trend.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.

Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. (VNDA) is up 19.06% premarket after scoring FDA approval for NEREUS, its oral neurokinin-1 receptor antagonist designed to prevent motion-induced vomiting in adults. If you've ever gotten seasick or carsick, you understand the market opportunity here. Unlike some of the other stocks making big moves this morning, Vanda's shares score high on momentum metrics, with a favorable price trend in the short, medium, and long terms.

Core AI Holdings Inc.

AI-based game developer Core AI Holdings Inc. (CHAI) is up 2.78% in premarket trading after dropping 5.75% during Tuesday's regular session. The company announced it had signed a definitive agreement to divest Siyata Mobile and its subsidiaries. The stock has shown an unfavorable price trend across short, medium, and long-term periods, and the modest premarket gain suggests investors have mixed feelings about the divestiture announcement.

How Tuesday Went Down

Tuesday wasn't exactly a banner day for the bulls. Consumer discretionary, materials, and financials took the biggest hits, while energy, real estate, and utilities managed to buck the trend and end the session in positive territory.

Here's how the major indexes closed:

  • Nasdaq Composite: down 0.24% to 23,419.08
  • S&P 500: down 0.14% to 6,896.24
  • Dow Jones: down 0.20% to 48,367.06
  • Russell 2000: down 0.76% to 2,500.59

The small-cap Russell 2000 got hit the hardest, which makes sense given that smaller companies tend to be more sensitive to uncertainty about interest rates and economic growth.

What the Analysts Are Saying

Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, shared some interesting historical perspective as we approach the final trading day of the year. He noted on social media that historically, the sixth year of any president's administration has been the strongest for equities. "Never lower and up nearly 21% on average," he wrote.

Now, there's a wrinkle here. Trump is entering the second year of his second term in office. Does that count as his sixth year? Given the four-year gap between his terms, it's debatable whether this historical pattern even applies. But it's a fun data point to chew on.

In an earlier observation, Detrick pointed out that if the S&P 500 ends lower on Wednesday, it will close the year on a four-day losing streak. According to him, that's "only happened twice in history" — in 2024 and 1966. The good news? Markets rallied the following years, gaining 20% in 1967 and 17% in 2025. So if history repeats itself, maybe 2026 won't be so bad after all.

Economic Data on Deck

Wednesday's economic calendar is refreshingly simple. There's really only one thing to watch:

  • December's Initial Jobless Claims report, releasing at 8:30 AM ET

That's it. After that, markets close for the New Year's Day holiday on Thursday, giving everyone a long weekend to nurse their champagne hangovers and contemplate their investment strategies for 2026.

Commodities, Currencies, and Crypto

Crude oil futures were trading lower by 0.38% in the early New York session, hovering around $57.72 per barrel. Energy prices have been relatively subdued lately as concerns about global demand growth persist.

Gold was down 0.35%, trading around $4,324.59 per ounce. That's well below its recent record high of $4,550.11 per ounce. Even with the market uncertainty, gold hasn't been catching much of a safe-haven bid lately. The U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.15% at the 98.380 level, which might explain some of gold's weakness.

Bitcoin was essentially flat, up just 0.09% at $88,474 per coin. The world's largest cryptocurrency has been trading in a relatively narrow range recently after its post-election surge cooled off.

Global Markets Mixed

Asian markets delivered a mixed performance on Wednesday. India's Nifty 50, the Shanghai index, and Thailand's SETI all finished in positive territory, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng, Japan's Nikkei, and South Korea's KOSPI declined. Australia's ASX 200 and New Zealand's NZX 50 were essentially flat for the day.

European markets were trading mixed in early action as well, with no clear directional trend emerging across the continent.

The global picture suggests investors everywhere are in a bit of a holding pattern as the year winds down. Nobody wants to make any big bets with just one trading day left in 2025, and the real action probably won't pick up again until everyone's back at their desks in the new year.

For now, the focus remains on that jobs report Wednesday morning and whatever drama President Trump might cook up next regarding the Federal Reserve. Happy New Year, everyone. May your 2026 portfolio fare better than your 2025 resolutions.

    Stock Futures Slip on New Year's Eve as Santa Rally Fizzles and Investors Eye Jobs Data - MarketDash News