Marketdash

The Biotech Rebound: How M&A Activity Changed Everything in 2025

MarketDash Editorial Team
4 hours ago
After years of capital flight and underperformance, small and mid-cap biotech stocks finally caught a break in 2025. A wave of M&A activity, falling interest rates, and strong clinical data transformed the sector from untouchable to irresistible.

Small and mid-cap biotech stocks spent years getting hammered, but 2025 changed the game. After quarters of capital flight and underperformance, the sector finally snapped back like a compressed spring released all at once.

"Biotech was a coiled spring following several quarters of underperformance," Dr. Terry Smith, Director of Life Sciences Research at Emerald Advisers, told MarketDash.

What triggered the bounce? Pretty much everything that could go right, did. Lower interest rates made speculative bets more palatable. M&A activity surged, giving investors confidence that even struggling companies might get acquired at a premium. Regulatory uncertainty around drug pricing frameworks like the Most Favored Nation policy started to clear up. Late-stage clinical trials delivered strong results. And the Food and Drug Administration, despite fears of chaos, behaved more predictably than many expected.

M&A Becomes the Ultimate Safety Net

Of all the factors driving the biotech comeback, M&A stands out as the most important. According to JPMorgan data, small and mid-cap companies represented 57% of biopharma acquisitions by deal count in Q3 2025. The median deal value dropped from $516 million in Q2 to $303 million, but the sheer volume mattered more. Thirty-three deals totaling $30.9 billion pushed 2025 M&A volume ahead of the entire previous year.

Johnathon Anderson, CEO of biotech firm Peptide Systems, explained how the deal wave fundamentally altered investor psychology. "This M&A floor has de-risked the sector, allowing investors to chase growth in specific high-tech sub-sectors."

Dr. Smith agreed, noting that frequent mid-sized acquisitions with strong premiums are healthier for small-cap investors than a handful of mega-deals. When acquirers consistently pay up for promising assets, it creates a floor under valuations across the sector. Suddenly, betting on biotech doesn't feel like pure speculation anymore.

Beyond GLP-1s: Cancer and Autoimmune Take Center Stage

GLP-1 obesity drugs dominated headlines in 2024, but 2025 brought a rotation. Investors shifted their attention toward cancer and autoimmune disease treatments, especially next-generation cell therapies. The hottest area? In-vivo and non-viral CAR-T approaches.

Traditional CAR-T therapy is a logistical nightmare. Doctors extract immune cells from a patient, send them to a lab for genetic modification, then reinfuse them weeks later. It's expensive, operationally complex, and hard to scale. Newer in-vivo platforms aim to engineer immune cells directly inside the patient's body, cutting costs and making the treatment accessible to more people.

This niche has already attracted roughly $6 billion in acquisitions over the past six months, Anderson noted. Big pharma clearly sees potential here, and that's pulling investor dollars into companies working on these platforms.

Top Small and Mid-Cap Biotech Stocks to Watch

As the sector heads into 2026, several names stand out based on analyst commentary and market data:

BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO)
BridgeBio focuses on genetic and heart diseases, and its key heart drug is already generating meaningful revenue. The company posted over $120 million in Q3 2025 sales, and investors are encouraged by steady pipeline progress. The company is still spending heavily to fuel growth, but the commercial traction is real.
YTD: +171.38% | Upside: 12.37%

Argenx (ARGX)
Argenx is one of biotech's rare commercial success stories, generating over $1 billion in quarterly product sales. The company recently paused development in one eye disease program, but analysts remain confident thanks to its broad immune-disease portfolio and strong cash generation. This is a biotech that actually makes money.
YTD: +35.04% | Upside: 8.8%

DBV Technologies (DBVT)
DBV is developing a skin patch designed to help children safely build tolerance to peanut allergies. Late-stage trial results were strong, and the company plans to seek U.S. approval in early 2026. Revenue is still small, but the potential patient population is enormous. If this works, it could be a game changer for millions of families.
YTD: +500% | Upside: 111.08%

Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)
Viridian targets thyroid eye disease, a rare but serious autoimmune condition that can cause debilitating symptoms. Its lead treatment has shown lasting benefits in late-stage trials, and a U.S. launch is planned for 2026. The addressable market is smaller than blockbuster indications, but the clinical results are compelling.
YTD: +63.36% | Upside: 27.58%

Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)
Kyverna is working on one-time immune "reset" treatments for autoimmune diseases like lupus. If successful, these therapies could replace years of chronic drug use with a single treatment. The company remains unprofitable, but strong trial signals and investor backing have driven massive stock gains. This is a high-risk, high-reward story.
YTD: +142.09% | Upside: 267.11%

What's Next for 2026?

Analysts expect the momentum to continue. "Looking ahead to 2026, we expect increased M&A and strategic partnerships as large pharma looks to replenish late-stage pipelines, particularly in immunology, rare disease, and neurology," said Elena Meng, research analyst at Gabelli Funds.

"A lower interest-rate environment should also improve funding conditions, benefiting companies with credible regulatory paths and near-term catalysts."

But it's not all sunshine. Dr. Smith flagged FDA staff turnover as a potential long-term concern. Even though approval timelines have held steady so far, institutional knowledge loss could eventually slow things down.

Anderson pointed to another issue: the "IPO air pocket" created by the 2023-2024 biotech downturn. With fewer IPO-ready companies in the pipeline, institutional capital is increasingly flowing into Private Investment in Public Equity deals. Essentially, public small-cap biotechs are being treated like late-stage venture investments, which changes the risk profile for retail investors.

For now, though, the biotech rebound looks real. M&A activity has created a floor under valuations, clinical data is delivering, and regulatory uncertainty is easing. The compressed spring has finally sprung, and investors who sat out the downturn are paying attention again.

The Biotech Rebound: How M&A Activity Changed Everything in 2025

MarketDash Editorial Team
4 hours ago
After years of capital flight and underperformance, small and mid-cap biotech stocks finally caught a break in 2025. A wave of M&A activity, falling interest rates, and strong clinical data transformed the sector from untouchable to irresistible.

Small and mid-cap biotech stocks spent years getting hammered, but 2025 changed the game. After quarters of capital flight and underperformance, the sector finally snapped back like a compressed spring released all at once.

"Biotech was a coiled spring following several quarters of underperformance," Dr. Terry Smith, Director of Life Sciences Research at Emerald Advisers, told MarketDash.

What triggered the bounce? Pretty much everything that could go right, did. Lower interest rates made speculative bets more palatable. M&A activity surged, giving investors confidence that even struggling companies might get acquired at a premium. Regulatory uncertainty around drug pricing frameworks like the Most Favored Nation policy started to clear up. Late-stage clinical trials delivered strong results. And the Food and Drug Administration, despite fears of chaos, behaved more predictably than many expected.

M&A Becomes the Ultimate Safety Net

Of all the factors driving the biotech comeback, M&A stands out as the most important. According to JPMorgan data, small and mid-cap companies represented 57% of biopharma acquisitions by deal count in Q3 2025. The median deal value dropped from $516 million in Q2 to $303 million, but the sheer volume mattered more. Thirty-three deals totaling $30.9 billion pushed 2025 M&A volume ahead of the entire previous year.

Johnathon Anderson, CEO of biotech firm Peptide Systems, explained how the deal wave fundamentally altered investor psychology. "This M&A floor has de-risked the sector, allowing investors to chase growth in specific high-tech sub-sectors."

Dr. Smith agreed, noting that frequent mid-sized acquisitions with strong premiums are healthier for small-cap investors than a handful of mega-deals. When acquirers consistently pay up for promising assets, it creates a floor under valuations across the sector. Suddenly, betting on biotech doesn't feel like pure speculation anymore.

Beyond GLP-1s: Cancer and Autoimmune Take Center Stage

GLP-1 obesity drugs dominated headlines in 2024, but 2025 brought a rotation. Investors shifted their attention toward cancer and autoimmune disease treatments, especially next-generation cell therapies. The hottest area? In-vivo and non-viral CAR-T approaches.

Traditional CAR-T therapy is a logistical nightmare. Doctors extract immune cells from a patient, send them to a lab for genetic modification, then reinfuse them weeks later. It's expensive, operationally complex, and hard to scale. Newer in-vivo platforms aim to engineer immune cells directly inside the patient's body, cutting costs and making the treatment accessible to more people.

This niche has already attracted roughly $6 billion in acquisitions over the past six months, Anderson noted. Big pharma clearly sees potential here, and that's pulling investor dollars into companies working on these platforms.

Top Small and Mid-Cap Biotech Stocks to Watch

As the sector heads into 2026, several names stand out based on analyst commentary and market data:

BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO)
BridgeBio focuses on genetic and heart diseases, and its key heart drug is already generating meaningful revenue. The company posted over $120 million in Q3 2025 sales, and investors are encouraged by steady pipeline progress. The company is still spending heavily to fuel growth, but the commercial traction is real.
YTD: +171.38% | Upside: 12.37%

Argenx (ARGX)
Argenx is one of biotech's rare commercial success stories, generating over $1 billion in quarterly product sales. The company recently paused development in one eye disease program, but analysts remain confident thanks to its broad immune-disease portfolio and strong cash generation. This is a biotech that actually makes money.
YTD: +35.04% | Upside: 8.8%

DBV Technologies (DBVT)
DBV is developing a skin patch designed to help children safely build tolerance to peanut allergies. Late-stage trial results were strong, and the company plans to seek U.S. approval in early 2026. Revenue is still small, but the potential patient population is enormous. If this works, it could be a game changer for millions of families.
YTD: +500% | Upside: 111.08%

Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN)
Viridian targets thyroid eye disease, a rare but serious autoimmune condition that can cause debilitating symptoms. Its lead treatment has shown lasting benefits in late-stage trials, and a U.S. launch is planned for 2026. The addressable market is smaller than blockbuster indications, but the clinical results are compelling.
YTD: +63.36% | Upside: 27.58%

Kyverna Therapeutics (KYTX)
Kyverna is working on one-time immune "reset" treatments for autoimmune diseases like lupus. If successful, these therapies could replace years of chronic drug use with a single treatment. The company remains unprofitable, but strong trial signals and investor backing have driven massive stock gains. This is a high-risk, high-reward story.
YTD: +142.09% | Upside: 267.11%

What's Next for 2026?

Analysts expect the momentum to continue. "Looking ahead to 2026, we expect increased M&A and strategic partnerships as large pharma looks to replenish late-stage pipelines, particularly in immunology, rare disease, and neurology," said Elena Meng, research analyst at Gabelli Funds.

"A lower interest-rate environment should also improve funding conditions, benefiting companies with credible regulatory paths and near-term catalysts."

But it's not all sunshine. Dr. Smith flagged FDA staff turnover as a potential long-term concern. Even though approval timelines have held steady so far, institutional knowledge loss could eventually slow things down.

Anderson pointed to another issue: the "IPO air pocket" created by the 2023-2024 biotech downturn. With fewer IPO-ready companies in the pipeline, institutional capital is increasingly flowing into Private Investment in Public Equity deals. Essentially, public small-cap biotechs are being treated like late-stage venture investments, which changes the risk profile for retail investors.

For now, though, the biotech rebound looks real. M&A activity has created a floor under valuations, clinical data is delivering, and regulatory uncertainty is easing. The compressed spring has finally sprung, and investors who sat out the downturn are paying attention again.