Here's a puzzle for you: What do you do when you think a stock is wildly overvalued but you're not willing to bet against it? Ask Michael Burry, who just gave us a masterclass in the difference between being right and making money.
Despite his well-documented skepticism toward Tesla Inc. (TSLA), Burry confirmed Wednesday that he currently holds no short position in the electric vehicle maker. This clarification comes as markets await Tesla's fourth-quarter vehicle sales figures and following years of Burry critiquing the company's valuation.
The 'Ridiculous' Valuation Argument
Burry hasn't exactly been subtle about his fundamental assessment. He's repeatedly labeled Tesla as "ridiculously overvalued," and his latest comments came Tuesday after the company shared consensus estimates for fourth-quarter vehicle sales that fell below investor expectations.
His skepticism stems from what he sees as a complete disconnect between Tesla's stock price and traditional automotive or even tech-sector fundamentals. Burry has identified two specific pain points that keep him bearish:
Shareholder Dilution: Burry estimates that Tesla's equity-based compensation dilutes shareholders by approximately 3.6% annually. The kicker? There are no stock buybacks to offset these grants, meaning existing shareholders just keep getting watered down.
CEO Compensation: Then there's Elon Musk's massive $1 trillion performance-based pay package. Burry argues this structure prioritizes hitting market-cap milestones over building sustainable profitability for long-term investors.
The Cult Problem
But here's where it gets interesting. Burry has also pointed to Tesla's "cult-like" following, which he believes helps sustain its stock price regardless of fundamentals.
"The Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up," Burry said in early December.
That unpredictable cult dynamic might be exactly why Burry isn't shorting Tesla stock. When someone asked early Wednesday morning if he would short the stock at current levels, Burry's reply was simple: "I am not short."
Translation? The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. It's a lesson Burry seems to have taken to heart.
Where the 'Big Short' Is Actually Happening
While Tesla remains a frequent target of Burry's commentary, his actual capital is deployed elsewhere — specifically against the broader AI boom.
Since deregistering Scion Asset Management as a public investment adviser in late 2025 and effectively turning it into a private family office, Burry has used his Substack, "Cassandra Unchained," to disclose his bearish bets.
His primary shorts now focus on NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) and Palantir Technologies, Inc. (PLTR). Burry holds significant put options against these AI darlings, citing concerns that hyperscalers are masking true costs by understating asset depreciation.
Being Right Versus Being Profitable
Burry's decision to stay on the sidelines of Tesla, despite his bearish opinions, reveals something important about markets: conviction doesn't always equal action. The "cult-like" momentum he's acknowledged can override fundamentals for years, making timing everything.
Burry is an active trader, so his position on Tesla could certainly change. But his current cautious stance serves as a powerful reminder that being right about a valuation is not the same as being right about the timing of a trade.
You can call a stock ridiculously overvalued all day long. But if you short it and the cult keeps buying? Well, that's how you learn expensive lessons about the difference between analysis and execution.
TSLA Stock Price: Tesla shares have gained more than 40% over the past six months, but were down slightly at $453.03 at publication on Wednesday.




