Applied Digital Corporation (APLD) is having a moment. The stock climbed nearly 6% Wednesday as analysts pile on with bullish ratings ahead of what could be a pivotal earnings report next week.
It's the kind of setup that makes traders pay attention: positive Wall Street coverage, an earnings catalyst on the horizon, and a stock that's already up over 200% in the past year. But the technical picture tells a more nuanced story.
Wall Street Weighs In
The analyst attention is real. Northland Capital Markets analyst Mike Grondahl maintained an Outperform rating on Tuesday with a $40 price target. Not to be outdone, Lake Street analyst Rob Brown reiterated his Buy rating on the final trading day of 2025, keeping his $45 price target intact.
That's the kind of confidence that tends to get noticed, especially when earnings are just days away.
What to Expect From Earnings
Applied Digital is scheduled to report second-quarter results on January 7th. Analysts are forecasting a loss of 10 cents per share on revenue of $87.51 million.
Last quarter offered some reasons for optimism. The company posted a 3 cent per share loss, crushing expectations for a 13 cent loss. Revenue came in at $64.22 million, well ahead of the $49.97 million consensus estimate.
Management sounded pretty enthusiastic about what's coming. "Looking ahead, we believe Applied Digital is poised to capitalize on a generational opportunity," the company said in its earnings release. "With a multi-GW pipeline, active and increasing hyperscaler interest, and long-term contracted visibility, we are positioned to scale rapidly at a moment when demand for advanced infrastructure is reaching unprecedented levels worldwide."
That's the kind of forward-looking statement that either ages really well or really poorly, depending on how execution goes.
The Technical Picture Gets Complicated
Here's where things get interesting. Applied Digital is showing what traders call a "mixed" technical setup, which is a polite way of saying the signals are pulling in different directions.
The stock is trading 6.1% below its 20-day simple moving average and 9.3% below its 50-day SMA, suggesting some near-term weakness. But it's still 4.2% above its 100-day SMA, indicating medium-term strength remains intact.
The RSI sits at 42.31, firmly in neutral territory. That means the stock isn't overbought or oversold right now, leaving plenty of room for movement in either direction. The MACD tells a slightly different story, currently sitting below its signal line and pointing to bearish pressure.
Key levels to watch: support at $22.00 and resistance at $29.50. How the stock reacts at these points will likely determine where it heads next.
Zoom out to the one-year view, though, and the story looks different. APLD has gained 236.58% over the past 12 months, reflecting serious longer-term bullish momentum. That's the kind of performance that suggests something fundamental is working, even if the short-term technicals look shaky.
With earnings just around the corner, traders will be watching closely to see if the company can deliver another beat and justify the analyst optimism that's been building.
APLD Price Action: At the time of writing, Applied Digital stock was trading 5.98% higher at $25.52.