Marketdash

Google's Stunning AI Comeback: From Threatened Giant to Potential King in Just One Year

MarketDash Editorial Team
4 hours ago
In a remarkable turnaround, Alphabet has transformed Wall Street's narrative from AI victim to AI champion. With Gemini's explosive growth, cloud revenue crushing competitors, and YouTube dominating living rooms, Google is proving it can leverage AI better than almost anyone.

Here's a wild thing about the stock market: sometimes the entire story changes without the underlying business changing all that much. Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) (GOOGL) just pulled off one of the more impressive narrative flips in recent memory, going from "tech giant about to be destroyed by AI" to "potential King of AI" in roughly twelve months.

When Fear Becomes Opportunity

According to Landon Swan, co-founder of LikeFolio, we've witnessed a massive shift in how Wall Street thinks about Google and artificial intelligence. Since bottoming out around $140 in April, shares have climbed more than 120%. That's not just a recovery—that's a complete revaluation.

The story used to go like this: AI chatbots would destroy Google's search monopoly, and with it, the company's main cash machine. Wall Street treated AI as an existential threat. Now? Same technology, completely different narrative. Investors see AI as a "giant opportunity" instead of impending doom.

Swan admits he was in the skeptic camp himself. But watching how Alphabet has deployed AI across its products has converted him from worried to "very, very bullish." Sometimes the best investment stories are about companies proving the doubters wrong.

The Gemini Growth Machine

Let's talk about Gemini, Google's answer to ChatGPT. Sure, OpenAI still owns the market with an estimated 85% share, but Swan points out that Gemini is "closing fast." And the growth numbers back that up.

LikeFolio data shows Gemini's user interest exploded over 300% year-over-year. ChatGPT, already massive, still grew 67%—but that's the difference between a startup finding product-market fit and an established player defending territory.

Google's strategy here is brilliantly simple: put Gemini "in your face." When you're the default search engine for billions of people, you don't need to convince users to download a new app or visit a new website. You just integrate AI right where they already are.

There's still work to do on engagement, though. ChatGPT users average 7.5 queries per day compared to just 4 for Gemini users. But distribution matters, and Google has distribution like nobody else.

Winning Beyond the Chatbot Wars

Here's what makes the Alphabet story more interesting than just "Google has a ChatGPT competitor." The company is executing across multiple fronts simultaneously.

Google Cloud is "crushing it," in Swan's words, with revenue up 34% year-over-year. That's faster growth than Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) are posting in their cloud divisions. When you're gaining share in a massive, growing market, that's the kind of thing that gets investors excited.

Then there's YouTube, which continues its quiet domination of American living rooms. The platform now commands 13% of U.S. TV time, compared to Netflix Inc. (NFLX) at 8%. Think about that—YouTube, which started as a place for amateur videos, now gets more watch time on televisions than Netflix.

With its content ecosystem, expanding cloud business, and AI integration across products, Alphabet is operating at full capacity across its entire portfolio.

The Numbers Tell the Story

GOOG shares have surged 64.78% in 2025, outpacing every single one of its Magnificent 7 peers during the same stretch. On the final trading day of the year, the stock closed 0.28% lower at $313.80.

The stock maintains strong price momentum across short, medium, and long-term timeframes, though valuation metrics suggest it's not exactly cheap anymore. When sentiment shifts this dramatically, valuations tend to follow.

What we're watching here is a masterclass in how dominant tech platforms can adapt to disruption. A year ago, the smart money was worried Google would be disrupted by AI. Now the smart money thinks Google might just win the AI race. Same company, same technology wave—completely different story. That's markets for you.

Google's Stunning AI Comeback: From Threatened Giant to Potential King in Just One Year

MarketDash Editorial Team
4 hours ago
In a remarkable turnaround, Alphabet has transformed Wall Street's narrative from AI victim to AI champion. With Gemini's explosive growth, cloud revenue crushing competitors, and YouTube dominating living rooms, Google is proving it can leverage AI better than almost anyone.

Here's a wild thing about the stock market: sometimes the entire story changes without the underlying business changing all that much. Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) (GOOGL) just pulled off one of the more impressive narrative flips in recent memory, going from "tech giant about to be destroyed by AI" to "potential King of AI" in roughly twelve months.

When Fear Becomes Opportunity

According to Landon Swan, co-founder of LikeFolio, we've witnessed a massive shift in how Wall Street thinks about Google and artificial intelligence. Since bottoming out around $140 in April, shares have climbed more than 120%. That's not just a recovery—that's a complete revaluation.

The story used to go like this: AI chatbots would destroy Google's search monopoly, and with it, the company's main cash machine. Wall Street treated AI as an existential threat. Now? Same technology, completely different narrative. Investors see AI as a "giant opportunity" instead of impending doom.

Swan admits he was in the skeptic camp himself. But watching how Alphabet has deployed AI across its products has converted him from worried to "very, very bullish." Sometimes the best investment stories are about companies proving the doubters wrong.

The Gemini Growth Machine

Let's talk about Gemini, Google's answer to ChatGPT. Sure, OpenAI still owns the market with an estimated 85% share, but Swan points out that Gemini is "closing fast." And the growth numbers back that up.

LikeFolio data shows Gemini's user interest exploded over 300% year-over-year. ChatGPT, already massive, still grew 67%—but that's the difference between a startup finding product-market fit and an established player defending territory.

Google's strategy here is brilliantly simple: put Gemini "in your face." When you're the default search engine for billions of people, you don't need to convince users to download a new app or visit a new website. You just integrate AI right where they already are.

There's still work to do on engagement, though. ChatGPT users average 7.5 queries per day compared to just 4 for Gemini users. But distribution matters, and Google has distribution like nobody else.

Winning Beyond the Chatbot Wars

Here's what makes the Alphabet story more interesting than just "Google has a ChatGPT competitor." The company is executing across multiple fronts simultaneously.

Google Cloud is "crushing it," in Swan's words, with revenue up 34% year-over-year. That's faster growth than Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) are posting in their cloud divisions. When you're gaining share in a massive, growing market, that's the kind of thing that gets investors excited.

Then there's YouTube, which continues its quiet domination of American living rooms. The platform now commands 13% of U.S. TV time, compared to Netflix Inc. (NFLX) at 8%. Think about that—YouTube, which started as a place for amateur videos, now gets more watch time on televisions than Netflix.

With its content ecosystem, expanding cloud business, and AI integration across products, Alphabet is operating at full capacity across its entire portfolio.

The Numbers Tell the Story

GOOG shares have surged 64.78% in 2025, outpacing every single one of its Magnificent 7 peers during the same stretch. On the final trading day of the year, the stock closed 0.28% lower at $313.80.

The stock maintains strong price momentum across short, medium, and long-term timeframes, though valuation metrics suggest it's not exactly cheap anymore. When sentiment shifts this dramatically, valuations tend to follow.

What we're watching here is a masterclass in how dominant tech platforms can adapt to disruption. A year ago, the smart money was worried Google would be disrupted by AI. Now the smart money thinks Google might just win the AI race. Same company, same technology wave—completely different story. That's markets for you.