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Duolingo's Growth Score Soars as BofA Says Wall Street Is Missing the Point

MarketDash Editorial Team
2 days ago
Duolingo jumps nearly 5% as Bank of America upgrades the stock to Buy, arguing investors are mistakenly viewing it as just an education app when it's really competing in the entertainment space with casual mobile games.

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) shares jumped nearly 5% on Monday, and the move came with an interesting twist in how analysts are thinking about the company. Turns out, calling it a language-learning app might be selling it short.

The Entertainment Angle

Bank of America Securities just upgraded Duolingo from Neutral to Buy, and their reasoning is pretty compelling. Wall Street has been putting the company in the education bucket, but BofA thinks that's the wrong box entirely. The real competition isn't other language apps—it's casual mobile games.

Think about it: when you've got five minutes to kill waiting for your coffee or sitting on the subway, you're not choosing between Duolingo and Rosetta Stone. You're choosing between Duolingo and Candy Crush or whatever game is eating up your friends' time this week. That's a much bigger market.

And here's the thing—Duolingo is apparently holding its own in that fight. The company maintains roughly a 95% annual subscriber retention rate and converts about 23% of its daily active users into paying customers. Those numbers stack up favorably against top mobile gaming companies, which is remarkable when you consider that one involves learning verb conjugations and the other involves, well, not that.

The Growth Metrics Tell a Story

Duolingo's growth score recently spiked to 93.32, landing it in the 93rd percentile among U.S.-listed stocks. This metric evaluates historical expansion in both earnings and revenue across multiple timeframes, weighing long-term trends alongside recent performance. For a company that's been around in its current form for a relatively short time, that's an impressive achievement.

The high growth score is particularly noteworthy because it comes despite some rough patches. The stock's momentum score sits at a weak 1.92, and price trends across short, medium, and long timeframes have been pointing downward. In fact, shares have dropped 53.30% over the last six months and 45.01% over the past month alone. But the underlying financial expansion? That remains strong.

The Bigger Picture

Bank of America's thesis rests on a massive opportunity: they estimate Duolingo could tap into a total addressable market of 3 billion casual gamers worldwide. That's not 3 billion people who want to learn Spanish—that's 3 billion people looking for something engaging to do during those little pockets of downtime throughout the day.

The firm did trim its price target slightly to $250, but maintains the stock looks cheap relative to its long-term growth potential. That view now gets some quantitative backing from the elevated growth rankings.

On Monday, DUOL climbed 4.91% to $185.15 per share, and added another 1.54% in premarket trading Tuesday. Whether the stock can sustain this momentum depends largely on whether the market buys into BofA's reframing of what Duolingo actually is. Not just an app that teaches you languages, but an entertainment platform that happens to make you smarter in the process.

Back to Stock Market News

Duolingo's Growth Score Soars as BofA Says Wall Street Is Missing the Point

MarketDash Editorial Team
2 days ago
Duolingo jumps nearly 5% as Bank of America upgrades the stock to Buy, arguing investors are mistakenly viewing it as just an education app when it's really competing in the entertainment space with casual mobile games.

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) shares jumped nearly 5% on Monday, and the move came with an interesting twist in how analysts are thinking about the company. Turns out, calling it a language-learning app might be selling it short.

The Entertainment Angle

Bank of America Securities just upgraded Duolingo from Neutral to Buy, and their reasoning is pretty compelling. Wall Street has been putting the company in the education bucket, but BofA thinks that's the wrong box entirely. The real competition isn't other language apps—it's casual mobile games.

Think about it: when you've got five minutes to kill waiting for your coffee or sitting on the subway, you're not choosing between Duolingo and Rosetta Stone. You're choosing between Duolingo and Candy Crush or whatever game is eating up your friends' time this week. That's a much bigger market.

And here's the thing—Duolingo is apparently holding its own in that fight. The company maintains roughly a 95% annual subscriber retention rate and converts about 23% of its daily active users into paying customers. Those numbers stack up favorably against top mobile gaming companies, which is remarkable when you consider that one involves learning verb conjugations and the other involves, well, not that.

The Growth Metrics Tell a Story

Duolingo's growth score recently spiked to 93.32, landing it in the 93rd percentile among U.S.-listed stocks. This metric evaluates historical expansion in both earnings and revenue across multiple timeframes, weighing long-term trends alongside recent performance. For a company that's been around in its current form for a relatively short time, that's an impressive achievement.

The high growth score is particularly noteworthy because it comes despite some rough patches. The stock's momentum score sits at a weak 1.92, and price trends across short, medium, and long timeframes have been pointing downward. In fact, shares have dropped 53.30% over the last six months and 45.01% over the past month alone. But the underlying financial expansion? That remains strong.

The Bigger Picture

Bank of America's thesis rests on a massive opportunity: they estimate Duolingo could tap into a total addressable market of 3 billion casual gamers worldwide. That's not 3 billion people who want to learn Spanish—that's 3 billion people looking for something engaging to do during those little pockets of downtime throughout the day.

The firm did trim its price target slightly to $250, but maintains the stock looks cheap relative to its long-term growth potential. That view now gets some quantitative backing from the elevated growth rankings.

On Monday, DUOL climbed 4.91% to $185.15 per share, and added another 1.54% in premarket trading Tuesday. Whether the stock can sustain this momentum depends largely on whether the market buys into BofA's reframing of what Duolingo actually is. Not just an app that teaches you languages, but an entertainment platform that happens to make you smarter in the process.