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Ford's 2025 Sales Surge Points to Momentum Despite Mixed Technical Signals

MarketDash Editorial Team
2 days ago
Ford Motor Company posted its strongest sales year of the decade with 2.2 million vehicles sold in 2025, a 6% jump that's driving shares higher. The F-Series truck kept its crown for the 49th straight year while hybrid sales hit record levels, but technical indicators tell a more complicated story.

Ford Motor Company (F) shares are catching a bid on Tuesday after the automaker reported sales figures that suggest its turnaround strategy might actually be working. When you sell 2.2 million vehicles in a year—your best showing since 2020—people tend to notice.

The 6% sales increase isn't happening in isolation either. Ford's market share expanded by 0.6 percentage points to reach 13.2%, which means the company isn't just riding a rising tide but actually taking ground from competitors.

Let's talk about the F-Series for a moment, because this truck line is the automotive equivalent of printing money. With 828,832 trucks sold (up 8.3%), Ford just notched the 49th consecutive year as America's best-selling truck. That's not a typo. Forty-nine years. Your parents probably drove an F-Series, and there's a decent chance you will too.

Perhaps more interesting is Ford's hybrid story. The company moved 228,072 hybrid vehicles in 2025, a record that shows buyers are warming to electrified options without necessarily going full EV. It's a smart middle ground that seems to be resonating with customers who want better fuel economy but aren't ready to commit to charging infrastructure.

What the Charts Are Saying

The technical picture for Ford (F) is mostly encouraging. Shares are trading 3.2% above their 20-day simple moving average and a more impressive 10.4% above the 100-day SMA, which suggests sustained strength rather than a quick pop.

Over the past year, the stock has climbed 39.06% and sits much closer to its 52-week high than its low. That's the good news. The complication comes from the momentum indicators, which are sending mixed messages.

The RSI sits at 56.70, which is solidly neutral—not overbought, not oversold, just cruising. But the MACD has slipped below its signal line, typically a bearish sign that suggests some near-term pressure. Think of it as the market being generally optimistic but maybe wanting to catch its breath.

  • Key Resistance: $14.00
  • Key Support: $12.50

The Earnings Question

Investors won't have to wait long for the next catalyst. Ford reports earnings on February 4, 2026, and the expectations are interesting. Revenue is projected to jump from $35.92 billion to $40.69 billion year-over-year, which would be impressive growth.

The catch? EPS is expected to crater from $0.39 to just $0.08. That's a significant decline, and it raises questions about whether Ford's sales growth is coming at the expense of profitability. The company's P/E ratio of 11.5x suggests the market thinks this is temporary, but that earnings call will be crucial.

  • EPS Estimate: $0.08 (Down from $0.39 YoY)
  • Revenue Estimate: $40.69 billion (Up from $35.92 billion YoY)
  • Valuation: P/E of 11.5x (Indicates value opportunity)

Quality Metrics Paint a Positive Picture

Looking at the broader scorecard, Ford shows some compelling characteristics. The momentum score of 81.01 out of 100 confirms what we're seeing in the price action—this stock is outperforming the market. The quality score of 89.32 suggests the balance sheet is in solid shape, which matters when you're making the kind of capital-intensive bets Ford is making on EVs and hybrids.

Perhaps most intriguing is the value score of 88.9, which indicates Ford might still be underpriced relative to its peers despite the 39% run-up. The combination of strong momentum, solid fundamentals, and attractive valuation creates what some analysts call a "High-Flyer" setup—a stock with both near-term momentum and long-term potential.

  • Momentum: Bullish (Score: 81.01/100) — Stock is outperforming the broader market
  • Quality: Solid (Score: 89.32/100) — Balance sheet remains healthy
  • Value: Strong (Score: 88.9/100) — Indicates value opportunity relative to peers

F Price Action: Ford Motor Company shares were up 2.52% at $13.81 at the time of publication on Tuesday.

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Ford's 2025 Sales Surge Points to Momentum Despite Mixed Technical Signals

MarketDash Editorial Team
2 days ago
Ford Motor Company posted its strongest sales year of the decade with 2.2 million vehicles sold in 2025, a 6% jump that's driving shares higher. The F-Series truck kept its crown for the 49th straight year while hybrid sales hit record levels, but technical indicators tell a more complicated story.

Ford Motor Company (F) shares are catching a bid on Tuesday after the automaker reported sales figures that suggest its turnaround strategy might actually be working. When you sell 2.2 million vehicles in a year—your best showing since 2020—people tend to notice.

The 6% sales increase isn't happening in isolation either. Ford's market share expanded by 0.6 percentage points to reach 13.2%, which means the company isn't just riding a rising tide but actually taking ground from competitors.

Let's talk about the F-Series for a moment, because this truck line is the automotive equivalent of printing money. With 828,832 trucks sold (up 8.3%), Ford just notched the 49th consecutive year as America's best-selling truck. That's not a typo. Forty-nine years. Your parents probably drove an F-Series, and there's a decent chance you will too.

Perhaps more interesting is Ford's hybrid story. The company moved 228,072 hybrid vehicles in 2025, a record that shows buyers are warming to electrified options without necessarily going full EV. It's a smart middle ground that seems to be resonating with customers who want better fuel economy but aren't ready to commit to charging infrastructure.

What the Charts Are Saying

The technical picture for Ford (F) is mostly encouraging. Shares are trading 3.2% above their 20-day simple moving average and a more impressive 10.4% above the 100-day SMA, which suggests sustained strength rather than a quick pop.

Over the past year, the stock has climbed 39.06% and sits much closer to its 52-week high than its low. That's the good news. The complication comes from the momentum indicators, which are sending mixed messages.

The RSI sits at 56.70, which is solidly neutral—not overbought, not oversold, just cruising. But the MACD has slipped below its signal line, typically a bearish sign that suggests some near-term pressure. Think of it as the market being generally optimistic but maybe wanting to catch its breath.

  • Key Resistance: $14.00
  • Key Support: $12.50

The Earnings Question

Investors won't have to wait long for the next catalyst. Ford reports earnings on February 4, 2026, and the expectations are interesting. Revenue is projected to jump from $35.92 billion to $40.69 billion year-over-year, which would be impressive growth.

The catch? EPS is expected to crater from $0.39 to just $0.08. That's a significant decline, and it raises questions about whether Ford's sales growth is coming at the expense of profitability. The company's P/E ratio of 11.5x suggests the market thinks this is temporary, but that earnings call will be crucial.

  • EPS Estimate: $0.08 (Down from $0.39 YoY)
  • Revenue Estimate: $40.69 billion (Up from $35.92 billion YoY)
  • Valuation: P/E of 11.5x (Indicates value opportunity)

Quality Metrics Paint a Positive Picture

Looking at the broader scorecard, Ford shows some compelling characteristics. The momentum score of 81.01 out of 100 confirms what we're seeing in the price action—this stock is outperforming the market. The quality score of 89.32 suggests the balance sheet is in solid shape, which matters when you're making the kind of capital-intensive bets Ford is making on EVs and hybrids.

Perhaps most intriguing is the value score of 88.9, which indicates Ford might still be underpriced relative to its peers despite the 39% run-up. The combination of strong momentum, solid fundamentals, and attractive valuation creates what some analysts call a "High-Flyer" setup—a stock with both near-term momentum and long-term potential.

  • Momentum: Bullish (Score: 81.01/100) — Stock is outperforming the broader market
  • Quality: Solid (Score: 89.32/100) — Balance sheet remains healthy
  • Value: Strong (Score: 88.9/100) — Indicates value opportunity relative to peers

F Price Action: Ford Motor Company shares were up 2.52% at $13.81 at the time of publication on Tuesday.