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Defense Contractors Surge on Trump's $1.5 Trillion Military Budget Proposal

MarketDash Editorial Team
3 days ago
President Trump's announcement of a potential $1.5 trillion military budget by 2027 sent defense stocks soaring Thursday, with small-cap contractors leading gains as investors shook off concerns from the prior session's dividend and buyback restrictions.

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Nothing gets defense stocks moving quite like the promise of more government spending, and Thursday delivered exactly that. President Donald Trump floated the idea of boosting the U.S. military budget from its current $900 billion to a hefty $1.5 trillion by 2027, and Wall Street's defense sector responded with enthusiasm.

The rally was particularly impressive because it completely erased Wednesday's selloff, when defense names took a hit after Trump ordered companies to halt dividends and share buybacks. Apparently, the prospect of a 67% budget increase was enough to make investors forget about shareholder returns for the moment.

Defense ETFs Lead the Charge

The broad defense sector enjoyed a solid day. The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) climbed 1.4%, while the State Street SPDR Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) posted an even stronger 3.3% gain. Both funds fully reversed their prior session's losses, suggesting investors are betting that bigger budgets matter more than temporary restrictions on capital allocation.

Small Caps Steal the Show

While the entire sector moved higher, small-cap defense contractors absolutely soared. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) jumped 18%, and Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) gained 12%. Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) rose 10%, demonstrating that smaller players with more concentrated exposure to defense spending tend to show bigger moves on this kind of news.

The large-cap names didn't slouch either. Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) climbed 9%, Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII) added 7%, and L3Harris Technologies Inc. (LHX) advanced 6%. These are substantial moves for companies of their size, reflecting genuine optimism about future contract opportunities.

Broader Market Shows Mixed Performance

By midday in New York, the broader market told a more complex story. Small caps generally outperformed their larger peers, with the Russell 2000 rising nearly 1% while the S&P 500 edged just 0.2% higher to 6,940 points. This divergence suggests investors were rotating into smaller, more domestically focused companies that stand to benefit from increased government spending.

Sector performance was all over the map. Consumer staples led the session, an unusual safe-haven choice that suggests some underlying caution. Technology stocks lagged badly, with the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.5% as chip producers faced selling pressure.

Chip Sector Takes a Hit

The technology sector's weakness centered on storage and memory chip companies. Sandisk Corporation (SNDK), Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX), and Western Digital Corporation (WDC) each posted steep double-digit declines. These moves appeared disconnected from the defense narrative, suggesting sector-specific concerns were weighing on sentiment.

Real Estate Finds Its Footing

Wednesday's dramatic selloff in residential real estate-focused asset managers took a breather. Blackstone Inc. (BX) rose 0.9% after tumbling more than 5% the prior session following Trump's tweet targeting institutional buyers of single-family homes. The bounce suggests either bargain hunting or a belief that the threats might not materialize into actual policy.

Commodities and Crypto Move Lower

Commodities presented a mixed picture. Gold held steady at $4,460 an ounce, maintaining its elevated levels as investors continued to view it as a hedge against uncertainty. Silver, however, slid 2.8% to $76, and oil climbed 1.9% to $57 a barrel on renewed demand expectations.

Cryptocurrencies weakened across the board. Bitcoin (BTC) slipped toward $90,000, eyeing a third straight day of losses as risk appetite in digital assets remained subdued.

Index Performance at Midday

The major indices showed clear divergence by noon Eastern Time. The Nasdaq 100 stood at 25,531.69, down 0.5%, while the S&P 500 reached 6,933.60, up 0.2%. The Dow Jones climbed 0.7% to 49,348.15, and the Russell 2000 led with a 1.0% gain to 2,599.99.

Among popular ETFs, the picture reflected these broader trends. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) flattened at $634.19, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) moved 0.5% higher to $492.61. The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (QQQ) eased 0.7% to $619.85, and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) rose 1% to $257.94.

Sector funds showed the day's extreme divergence. The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) outperformed dramatically, up 2.3%, while the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) lagged badly, down 1.7%.

Russell 1000's Top Movers

The day's biggest winners in the Russell 1000 reflected the defense spending narrative. Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) led with an 11.01% gain, followed by Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) with an 8.93% increase. Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) added 7.74%, The Gap, Inc. (GPS) gained 7.45%, and AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) rose 7.23%.

On the losing side, Acuity Inc. (AYI) dropped 13.47%, Ciena Corporation (CIEN) fell 12.56%, and Teleflex Incorporated (TFX) declined 12.31%. Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) lost 11.01%, and Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) dropped 10.20%.

The market's message Thursday was clear: defense spending proposals matter, and investors are willing to look past short-term restrictions when the long-term budget picture looks this promising. Whether Trump's $1.5 trillion figure becomes reality remains to be seen, but for now, defense contractors are enjoying the speculation.

Back to Stock Market News

Defense Contractors Surge on Trump's $1.5 Trillion Military Budget Proposal

MarketDash Editorial Team
3 days ago
President Trump's announcement of a potential $1.5 trillion military budget by 2027 sent defense stocks soaring Thursday, with small-cap contractors leading gains as investors shook off concerns from the prior session's dividend and buyback restrictions.

Get Market Alerts

Weekly insights + SMS alerts

Nothing gets defense stocks moving quite like the promise of more government spending, and Thursday delivered exactly that. President Donald Trump floated the idea of boosting the U.S. military budget from its current $900 billion to a hefty $1.5 trillion by 2027, and Wall Street's defense sector responded with enthusiasm.

The rally was particularly impressive because it completely erased Wednesday's selloff, when defense names took a hit after Trump ordered companies to halt dividends and share buybacks. Apparently, the prospect of a 67% budget increase was enough to make investors forget about shareholder returns for the moment.

Defense ETFs Lead the Charge

The broad defense sector enjoyed a solid day. The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) climbed 1.4%, while the State Street SPDR Aerospace & Defense ETF (XAR) posted an even stronger 3.3% gain. Both funds fully reversed their prior session's losses, suggesting investors are betting that bigger budgets matter more than temporary restrictions on capital allocation.

Small Caps Steal the Show

While the entire sector moved higher, small-cap defense contractors absolutely soared. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) jumped 18%, and Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) gained 12%. Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) rose 10%, demonstrating that smaller players with more concentrated exposure to defense spending tend to show bigger moves on this kind of news.

The large-cap names didn't slouch either. Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) climbed 9%, Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (HII) added 7%, and L3Harris Technologies Inc. (LHX) advanced 6%. These are substantial moves for companies of their size, reflecting genuine optimism about future contract opportunities.

Broader Market Shows Mixed Performance

By midday in New York, the broader market told a more complex story. Small caps generally outperformed their larger peers, with the Russell 2000 rising nearly 1% while the S&P 500 edged just 0.2% higher to 6,940 points. This divergence suggests investors were rotating into smaller, more domestically focused companies that stand to benefit from increased government spending.

Sector performance was all over the map. Consumer staples led the session, an unusual safe-haven choice that suggests some underlying caution. Technology stocks lagged badly, with the Nasdaq 100 slipping 0.5% as chip producers faced selling pressure.

Chip Sector Takes a Hit

The technology sector's weakness centered on storage and memory chip companies. Sandisk Corporation (SNDK), Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX), and Western Digital Corporation (WDC) each posted steep double-digit declines. These moves appeared disconnected from the defense narrative, suggesting sector-specific concerns were weighing on sentiment.

Real Estate Finds Its Footing

Wednesday's dramatic selloff in residential real estate-focused asset managers took a breather. Blackstone Inc. (BX) rose 0.9% after tumbling more than 5% the prior session following Trump's tweet targeting institutional buyers of single-family homes. The bounce suggests either bargain hunting or a belief that the threats might not materialize into actual policy.

Commodities and Crypto Move Lower

Commodities presented a mixed picture. Gold held steady at $4,460 an ounce, maintaining its elevated levels as investors continued to view it as a hedge against uncertainty. Silver, however, slid 2.8% to $76, and oil climbed 1.9% to $57 a barrel on renewed demand expectations.

Cryptocurrencies weakened across the board. Bitcoin (BTC) slipped toward $90,000, eyeing a third straight day of losses as risk appetite in digital assets remained subdued.

Index Performance at Midday

The major indices showed clear divergence by noon Eastern Time. The Nasdaq 100 stood at 25,531.69, down 0.5%, while the S&P 500 reached 6,933.60, up 0.2%. The Dow Jones climbed 0.7% to 49,348.15, and the Russell 2000 led with a 1.0% gain to 2,599.99.

Among popular ETFs, the picture reflected these broader trends. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) flattened at $634.19, while the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) moved 0.5% higher to $492.61. The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (QQQ) eased 0.7% to $619.85, and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) rose 1% to $257.94.

Sector funds showed the day's extreme divergence. The Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) outperformed dramatically, up 2.3%, while the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) lagged badly, down 1.7%.

Russell 1000's Top Movers

The day's biggest winners in the Russell 1000 reflected the defense spending narrative. Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) led with an 11.01% gain, followed by Leonardo DRS, Inc. (DRS) with an 8.93% increase. Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) added 7.74%, The Gap, Inc. (GPS) gained 7.45%, and AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) rose 7.23%.

On the losing side, Acuity Inc. (AYI) dropped 13.47%, Ciena Corporation (CIEN) fell 12.56%, and Teleflex Incorporated (TFX) declined 12.31%. Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) lost 11.01%, and Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) dropped 10.20%.

The market's message Thursday was clear: defense spending proposals matter, and investors are willing to look past short-term restrictions when the long-term budget picture looks this promising. Whether Trump's $1.5 trillion figure becomes reality remains to be seen, but for now, defense contractors are enjoying the speculation.