When Timing Meets Tech: Pelosi's Tempus Bet Pays Off
Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) managed to beat the stock market again in 2025, and one of her picks is absolutely on fire right now. Tempus AI (TEM) shares rocketed higher on Monday after the company dropped some impressive preliminary financial results over the weekend, and it turns out Pelosi's portfolio had a front-row seat to the show.
The artificial intelligence healthcare company reported fourth-quarter revenue is expected to land around $367 million, representing an 83% jump year-over-year. That's already ahead of what analysts were expecting—consensus estimates from market data had pegged fourth-quarter revenue at $360.1 million. Breaking it down further, diagnostics revenue should hit $266 million (up 121% year-over-year), while data and applications revenue came in at $100 million (up 25% year-over-year).
For the full fiscal year 2025, Tempus AI expects revenue of $1.27 billion, an 83% increase from the prior year. Diagnostics revenue for the full year reached $955 million, up 111% year-over-year. These preliminary results suggest the company just notched its fourth consecutive quarterly revenue beat, which tends to make investors happy.
A Look at Pelosi's January 2025 Options Play
On January 14, 2025, Pelosi disclosed purchasing options in five different stocks. For those tracking congressional trading activity, here's the lineup:
- Tempus AI (TEM)
- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
- Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN)
- Vistra Corp (VST)
Fast forward roughly a year, and here's how those picks have performed based on the highest trading prices from January 14, 2025 through early Monday morning:
- Tempus AI: +116.4%
- Alphabet: +69.8%
- Nvidia: +34.2%
- Amazon.com: +10.6%
- Vistra: -5.7%
Four out of five stocks are up at least 10%, with Tempus AI absolutely crushing it. Now here's where it gets interesting: these were call options executed by Pelosi's husband Paul Pelosi, which means the actual gains could be substantially higher than the stock price movements alone.
For Tempus, the disclosure showed a purchase of 50 call options with a $20 strike price and a January 16, 2026 expiration date. The transaction was valued between $50,000 and $100,000 at the time. Those options, which represent the right to buy 5,000 common shares at $20 per share, are now worth approximately $263,350 as of Monday morning. That's quite a return on investment.
Pelosi has historically exercised stock options for common shares around the option expiration date, so investors might see disclosure filings soon showing option exercises for some of these positions.
Beyond the January 2025 options purchases, Pelosi disclosed exercising Broadcom stock options in June and donating Apple shares to a school in October. Her overall investment portfolio posted gains of either 20.1% (according to UnusualWhales) or 18% (per Quiver Quantitative) for 2025, both comfortably ahead of the S&P 500's 16.6% gain for the year.




