Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) is stepping into the earnings spotlight this Wednesday before the opening bell, and Wall Street's sharpest minds have been scrambling to update their forecasts ahead of the big reveal.
The consensus among analysts has settled on fourth-quarter earnings of $1.67 per share, which would mark a healthy climb from the $1.43 per share the bank posted in the same period last year. On the revenue front, expectations are calling for $21.66 billion compared to $20.38 billion a year ago.
Context matters here: Wells Fargo Bank recently announced it's trimming its prime rate from 7.00% to 6.75% as of December 10, reflecting the broader interest rate environment. Meanwhile, shares closed Friday at $95.95, up a modest 0.4%.
But what's really interesting is how the analyst community has been repositioning ahead of earnings. These aren't just any analysts, either. We're talking about the folks with proven track records, the ones who've gotten it right more often than not.
What the Sharp Analysts Are Saying
TD Cowen's Steven Alexopoulos, who boasts a 69% accuracy rate, maintained his Hold rating but bumped his price target from $93 to $102 on January 7. Not exactly a ringing endorsement, but not pessimistic either.
Truist Securities analyst John McDonald, sporting an impressive 82% accuracy rate, kept his Buy rating intact while lifting his target from $100 to $104 on January 6. That's one of the higher conviction calls in the group.
Then there's Baird's David George, who made the boldest move of the bunch. On January 6, he downgraded Wells Fargo from Neutral all the way to Underperform with a $90 price target. With a 76% accuracy rate, that's a call worth noting, especially since it suggests he sees downside risk from current levels.
Barclays analyst Jason Goldberg went the opposite direction, maintaining his Overweight rating while jacking up his price target from $94 to $113 on January 5. His 63% accuracy rate is the lowest of this group, but that's still a significant vote of confidence in the upside.
Finally, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analyst David Konrad, with a solid 79% accuracy rate, stuck with his Market Perform rating but raised his target from $92 to $101 on December 17.
So what we've got here is a spread of opinions ranging from underperform to overweight, with price targets spanning $90 to $113. That's a pretty wide range for a major money-center bank, which tells you there's genuine disagreement about where Wells Fargo goes from here. Wednesday's earnings should provide some clarity on who's reading the situation correctly.




