Okta Inc. (OKTA) shares have been quietly climbing over the past month, riding a broader tech rally and renewed interest in identity security. For a company that spent the last couple years trying to move past operational headaches, this momentum feels like the start of something resembling redemption.

To see how an AI model reads the room, we ran Okta through a price-prediction agent powered by OpenAI's GPT. The question: where does the stock land in 60 days if current trends hold?

What the Numbers Say

The model chewed through recent price action and technical indicators with Okta trading at $93.84. For the window through March 31, 2026, here's what it spit out:

• Target price: $121.94
• Implied move: Modest climb from current levels
• Technical signals: MACD and RSI both leaning positive

Translation: the model thinks momentum and volatility patterns favor a push higher rather than a correction. Interestingly, broader AI forecasts suggest Okta could hit $175 by 2030 if the company keeps executing.

The AI isn't calling this a moonshot. It's calling it a grind higher, which actually makes sense when you look at what's happening under the hood.

Why Identity Security Suddenly Matters Again

The real story here is the explosion in demand for Zero Trust security architectures. As companies lock down every entry point in their networks, Okta's Workforce and Customer Identity Clouds have shifted from "nice-to-have software" to critical infrastructure. You can see it in the billings growth and customer retention numbers, which have been impressively sticky.

Okta's latest financial results also tell a different story than they did a couple years ago. The company posted year-over-year net income growth last quarter, signaling a real pivot from growth-at-all-costs to something that looks like disciplined profitability. Wall Street tends to reward that kind of maturity, especially in a market that's gotten pickier about which tech names deserve premium valuations.

The technical picture backs this up. RSI shows positive momentum without screaming "overbought," which means there's room for the stock to keep climbing without triggering an immediate pullback. That's the kind of setup traders actually like: momentum with breathing room.

The Competitive Landscape Isn't Simple

Competition from giants like Microsoft (MSFT) remains fierce, but Okta has a structural advantage: it's neutral. As an independent identity platform, it can integrate across messy, multi-cloud environments without the political baggage that comes with being owned by one of the cloud hyperscalers. That flexibility is harder to replicate than it looks, and it matters when you're selling into complex enterprise IT stacks.

Large enterprise contracts have been stabilizing, and sales productivity is trending in the right direction. These aren't flashy metrics, but they're the kind of operational improvements that suggest Okta is getting its house in order after some rough quarters.

What Analysts Are Thinking

Analysts remain bullish, with consensus ratings at Strong Buy. The more aggressive shops see upside into the high $150s if Okta holds onto its dominant position in the identity security niche. Even the median price targets imply meaningful upside from here.

The AI forecast isn't trying to predict whether Okta's Zero Trust leadership is permanent. It's more like a short-term temperature check: how fast is the market willing to forgive past execution stumbles and price in the recovery narrative? The model's answer is "faster than you might think, but not overnight."

Whether the stock actually gets to $121.94 in two months depends on a lot of things no AI can perfectly predict—macro conditions, earnings surprises, competitive moves. But the setup is interesting: a company that's fixing its operations, riding a structural demand wave, and showing technical momentum without getting ahead of itself. That's not a bad combination if you're looking for something in the cybersecurity space that's more than just hype.